Replies

Back for a few days, then an extended period of absence as I go visit a grandchild that I haven’t seen in over a year.

Things were relative calm over the weekend

Globalism / Great Reset -

France’s Minister of the Interior, Gerald Darmanin, announced that he aims to hire thousands of ‘green police’ officers to investigate environmental crimes and enforce environmental laws and regulations.
“We have decided to massively reinforce the resources of the Central Office for the Fight against Damage to the Environment and to launch 3,000 ‘green police’ posts,” he continued. “The objective is that, in each gendarmerie brigade, there are gendarmes trained in attacks on ecology.”

OBSERVATION - Another step towards totalitarianism at eventually a global level.

An Australian bank plans to stop giving loans for new diesel and gasoline cars as the country tries to encourage the use of electric vehicles and catch up with other developed countries.
In a statement Friday, Bank Australia said it would scrap loans for new fossil fuel vehicles from 2025. Sasha Courville, its chief impact officer, said that date had been picked “because the change to electric vehicles needs to happen quickly.”

OBSERVATION - Just another notch, expect the same here soon.

Wuhan virus -

A federal judge in Florida ordered class action relief and granted a classwide preliminary injunction Wednesday against the federal government’s COVID shot mandate for all U.S. Marines whether they are active or in reserve service.

OBSERVATION - Sadly, much damage has already been done to our military. Too many who’ve received the jab - technically illegal since the military didn’t use the nonexistent FDA approved formula but the EUA version - are suffering from the post jab effects hammering the non military community - heart conditions, incased cancers, etc. Further, military pushing for jabs are not following current CDC guidances.

Economy -

97% of US executives believe US is now in a recession or close to one. A survey conducted by Stifel Financial shows that 18 percent of executives, business owners, and investors consider the economy already in a recession, compared to 79 percent of them expecting a downturn within the next 18 months. Only three percent of executives believe the U.S. could completely avoid a recession over the same time frame.

In related - The National Association of Business Economists (NABE) Economic Policy Survey finds that approximately 67% of respondents believe a recession has already or will begin by the first quarter of 2023. Over half of all panelists agree that current fiscal policy is “too stimulative,” and 73% say that the Fed will be unable to reduce inflation to 2% without inducing a recession over the next two years. (FO)

OBSERVATION - We’ll soon see if the other shoe drops when the next GDP and inflation numbers come out. But since these people are on the ground having to deal with the situation, seems they have a better feel for what actual conditions are versus those in the ivory tower of the Fed.

July marked the first decline to beef prices since June of 2021. During the first week of August, beef prices fell another 0.7% Analysts vary on what to attribute this to. Some say more workers, others say this summer’s sell off of cattle due to excessive prices for feed, fuel, etc.

Biden / Harris watch -

According to the White House, biden will remain on summer vacation until Wednesday.

A whopping 74% of Americans say the United States is on the wrong track in a new NBC News poll conducted earlier this month. In total, the poll found, 55 percent of Americans now disapprove of the job the president is doing, while just 42 percent appr

CW2/Domestic violence -

Boxing world champion Tyson Fury called on the British government to clamp down harder on knife crime after his cousin was stabbed to death in what police called a “senseless” and “unplanned” attack.
In a social media post on Sunday, Fury called the scale of deaths caused by knives as a “pandemic” as he paid tribute to Rico Burton.

OBSERVATION - Why is this here? Because the extreme gun control measures Britain has have literally transitioned criminals to use knives - at one time the mayor of London called for ‘knife control’. Gun control is a ruse - I think we here at FR recognize that. Murders will continue to use what ever is at hand, be it guns, knives, vehicles or pressures cookers.

Firefighters in Seattle have demanded the city take action after they were subjected to more than 40 violent attacks in the past four months - a string of assaults that have been largely carried out by the city’s homeless population.
The attacks, which the city’s firefighter’s union says began in May, have seen the protectors repeatedly targeted by the intemperate down-and-outs, often while responding to fires started at the city’s growing number of homeless encampments.

OBSERVATION - The homeless component will be a nasty element if a CW2 becomes spicy. Egged on by Antifa ‘friends’, they could easily become the left’s cannon fodder in cities that are already Antifa controlled.

Soros-backed Massachusetts U.S. Attorney Rachael Rollins issued an official statement on Wednesday threatening Americans who are against the genital mutilation of children.

OBSERVATION - This fight is only just begun. The trans agenda has called in its chips in the law fare that is beginning. So much so that the LGB community is starting to remove the “T”.

Strategic Activity / Deployments -

A squadron of US Air Force B-52 bombers arrived in the United Kingdom as part of the US/NATO bomber taskforce based in Europe. The bomber squadron immediately began a series of exercises in Sweden.

OBSERVATION - Show of force directed toward Russia,

China -

Heat and drought is hitting Chinese production in a manner nearly as big as wuhan. In Sichuan, a regional manufacturing powerhouse that is home to more than 80 million people, the record heat wave has exacerbated an ongoing drought, cutting water levels at hydropower reservoirs in half this month, according to the Sichuan Provincial Department of Economics and Information Technology.

OBSERVATION - Chinese economic woes will continue to weigh heavily on Xi and any decision to pull the trigger and attempt any invasion of Taiwan.

China continues to send varying numbers of planes into Taiwans ADZ, prompting responses.

North/South Korea -

NUKE WATCH on going.

The United States and South Korea began their biggest combined military training in years Monday as they heighten their defense posture against the growing North Korean nuclear threats. The exercises were cancelled by Trump during his diplomatic outreach to Kim.

Japan -

Japan is considering the deployment of 1,000 long-range cruise missiles to boost its counterattack capability against China, the Yomiuri newspaper reported on Sunday (Aug 21).
The missiles would be existing arms modified to extend their range from 100km to 1,000km, the daily said, citing government sources.

Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia is now entering its seventh month of fighting since starting on Feb 24th.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russia now essentially controls Luhansk Oblast, Russian forces have modified their immediate goals to try to capture Bakhmut and Avdiivka in the Donetsk region. Russia is also working to redeploy forces to face an anticipated Ukraninan offensive to retake Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts

********
Daria Dugina, the daughter of Russian philosopher Aleksandr Dugin, was killed in an assassination attempt that appears to have targeted her father. The two had switched cars for the last leg of their trip, drawing many to assume he was the intended victim of the exploding vehicle.

OBSERVATION - Russians have been quick to blame Ukraine for the attack as the elder Dugin is attributed as providing Putin the philosophical foundation for his global goals. However, on the radar screen as well are those how thing that Russian factions may be involved, disgruntled by the war and putin’s policies. This anti-Putin Russian nationalist group group calling themselves the National Republican Army who are taking responsibility for the car bomb that killed Alexander Dugin’s daughter.

Putin has said UN officials will be granted permission to visit and inspect the Zaporizhzhia nuclear complex. The Kremlin made the announcement after a call between Mr Putin and French President Emmanuel Macron.

OBSERVATION - Russia has come under increasing pressure regarding how it is handling the situation at the power plant, especially when photos came out this weekend showing Russian logistics vehicles parked in the reactor rooms. Any kind of serious damage to the facility could create a Chernobyl like situation with widespread airborne radiation and possible destruction of the groundwater and pollution to the Dinpir River.

Russian Personnel Issues -
- Western officials say between 70,000 and 80,000 Russian troops have been killed or wounded since it launched its invasion six months ago.
- Efforts continue to entice men to sign up for the military. In order to attract fresh recruits, the authorities are offering volunteers huge sums of money, plots of land and even premium places for their children in Russian schools. Recruiters have even been visiting Russian prisons to sign up inmates, promising them freedom and money.

Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Hot with widely scattered thunderstorms over parts of the 10 day forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP -
Remarkably, the tactical situation on the ground is very much unchanged from my last post. Various OSINT analysts are reviewing current Russian operations and have come to the conclusion that Russian forces’ momentum from territorial gains around Bakhmut & Avdiivka in late July are likely exhausted, and Russian attacks in eastern Ukraine are likely culminating although very small Russian advances will likely continue.

NATO has been assisting in the training of Ukrainian volunteers that joined the military after the invasion. Even with losses from six months of fighting, there are still nearly 700,000 of these volunteers. Most require training before they are up to the standards required for a successful offensive to push the remaining (under Russian forces out. The level of training being received far outstrips that given to Russian conscripts.

Ukrainan special operations / Partisan continue to raise havoc in Crimea and other Russian occupied territories. They were famous in WW2 and that edge is now rising to the forefront in this war.

Kyiv front ——
NSR except that public events prohibited starting 22th August to 25th August in Kyiv due to the missile attack threat - peeriod marks Ukranian independence celebrations.

Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts - ——
NSR, except for scattered Russian artillery strikes on border city/villages. …..

Eastern (Kharkiv) front -
Kharkiv is hit with more missiles and rockets overnight.

Another failed attempt by Russian forces to push south out of the Izyum axis.

Donetsk Oblast ——
Russian scattered artillery fire hit the eastern margin of the Slovyansk-Siversk-Bakhmut salient.

Russian forces continue to press attacks to the north and south of Bakhumt seeing minor success.

Continued Russian artillery northwest of Donetsk

Crimean Front ——
Russian forces have partial success in assault on Blahodatne, north of Kherson. More artillery fire widely distributed over the Kherson LOC. Most likely a preemptive attack.

Heavy missile and artillery strikes on Mykolaiv.

Air defenses in the Crimean city of Sevastopol were active, claiming it shot down somethgn that was targeting an airbase.

Western / Central Ukraine ——
NSR

Russian Territory -—
NSR

Partisan Resistance ——
Russia has instituted checkpoints surrounding Sebastanipol, Crimea in responst to attacks on logistic dumps and command facilities. Over the weekend a drone got thru Russian ADA fire and hit the CP of the Black Sea fleet, causing minor damage.

Ammunition / logistical sites hit —
Explosions reported at ammunition depot in Donetsk yesterday
Ukraine’s military said it destroyed two Russian ammunition depots in the villages of Chornobaivka in Kherson and Starytsia in Kharkiv.

OUTLOOK ——
Russia will continue to struggle to regain the unitive in the east continuing to keep pressure up on Bakhmut mostly to try to freeze Ukraine forces that could be shifted to the west for the still impending Kherson offensive.

Still a lot of Russian artillery, but volume/intensity appears to be substantially down. This is not helping in the east where they have to rely heavilyy on it to advance their offensive.

Expect to see more sabotage in Russian controlled regions - Ukraine is just getting ramped up. This will further weaken Russian defenses in Kherson oblast as more troops are needed to pull security. Actions in Crimea will continue to give Russia a black eye domestically. Watching for a potential aggressive action by Russia this Wednesday as Ukraine celebrates it independence. A wide range of provocations are expected.

SERBIA - KOSOVO (new) -

Ethnic Serbs working in Kosovo will leave their jobs unless a deal is reached to end their “persecution,” Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic warned on Sunday.
In a fiery TV address after meeting Kosovo Serbs, Vucic called on NATO peacekeepers to “do their job” or Belgrade would move to protect the Serb minority in the breakaway province. The comments follow the collapse of political talks between Serbian and Kosovo leaders earlier this week, mediated by the European Union in Brussels.

OBSERVATION - Serbia continues to keep tensions high - sensing distraction of NATO on Ukraine and with a little nudge from Russia. Refresher - this started when Kosovo authorities said they would require local Serbs to switch their car number plates from Serbian to Kosovan ones. Serbia has enforced a similar policy on Kosovo citizens over the past 10 years. Minority Serbs in Kosovo reacted with anger to the plans, putting up roadblocks, sounding air raid sirens and firing guns into the air and in the direction of Kosovo police officers.
Serbs have the willingness and military capable of restarting the war, but risk NATO Article 5 response. That appears to be about the only thing currently holding them back.

Pakistan -

Pakistan’s police have charged the country’s former Prime Minister, Imran Khan, under anti-terror laws. Their investigation comes after he accused the police and judiciary of detaining and torturing a close aide. Mr Khan’s supporters gathered outside his house vowing to “take over” if he was arrested. However, he has now been granted pre-arrest bail until Thursday.

OBSERVATION - Pakistan stands of the verge of a civil conflict. Khan has a lot of supporters as well as detractors after he ran the country economically into the ground as PM. What is scary, a third world nuclear power in a civil war.

Iran -

US President Joe Biden held a phone call Sunday with the leaders of France, Germany and the UK to discuss the Iran nuclear deal negotiations, as talks between Tehran and world powers appeared to advance. OBSERVATION - Word coming out is that the US and Europe is giving Iran everything and the kitchen sink.

Coffee, need more coffee. . . . .

Globalism / Great Reset -

A lot of noise regarding a WEF program to get people to have computer chips implanted in their bodies. Efforts quite clearly are designed to desensitize the sheeple to the idea.

With the recent passage of the costly, yet deceptively named, Inflation Reduction Act in the Senate, the Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) movement will be further emboldened. The IRA prioritizes funding for environmental justice, clean energy investments, and achieving net zero emissions, among its climate provisions. The bill’s passage, however, exposes the public to its shortcomings and harmful economic footprint.

Scores correspond to each of the three prongs—ESG—but the “E” prong measuring an individual country’s carbon and methane emissions doesn’t paint an accurate picture. The World Economics Index scores environmental impact from 0 (high environmental impact) to 100 (low environmental impact) scale.
Unfortunately for ESG boosters, high “E” scores haven’t shielded three nations in the news—Ghana, the Netherlands, and Sri Lanka—from experiencing economic turmoil.

OBSERVATION - I’m convinced that economic turmoil is exactly what the GGR / WEF want. It is the tool they intend to use to finally bring the world under their control - or at least what’s left of the world. How else will they get to their “reset”. ESG also beings with it controlling measures of the sheeple. Don’t toe the party line, no soup for you.

Yesterday, I noted an Australia bank will no longer make loans to individuals wanting to buy new vehicles powered by conventional gas/diesel. I noted how this is coming to America. Well its here and I didn’t make the link yesterday. Blackrock is using its multi trillions to force corporations towards the net zero concept. They pressure companies to comply with international agreements such as the Paris Agreement that force the phase-out of fossil fuels, increase and energy prices. Blackrock is currently being sued by many states for mishandling citizens investments causing loss as well as discriminatory practices.

Wuhan virus -

Yesterday Dr. Fauci released a statement announcing that he would step down from his NIAID and White House positions in December. Some observe that it is apparent that he must believe that Republicans will capture one or both houses in congress and wants to jump ship while the jumping is good.

The World Health Organization’s Maria Van Kerkhove said millions have died from COVID-19 since the start of this scamdemic and 15,000 are still dying each week. She also warns that new variants are going to be popping up in the coming days.
“I know we are tired, but when did this become acceptable?” she questions about the number of people dying. It seems perfectly acceptable for them to die or be severely injured by the vaccine, but not by a virus. “Future variants will be more transmissible, may have further immune escape but we do not know if they will be more or less severe,” she added.

OBSERVATION - All about control, and they are losing that control along with the narrative. Monkey pox isn’t filling the vacuum.

Economy -

Wall Street tumbled over 600 points on Monday as investors fretted about a U.S. Federal Reserve gathering later this week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, that is expected to reinforce a strong commitment by the central bank to stamp out inflation.
“Powell is going to try to sound hawkish to tamp down inflationary expectations and tighten financial conditions. So that’s most likely going to be a negative catalyst for the market,” warned Jay Hatfield, chief investment officer at Infrastructure Capital Management in New York.
The Fed will probably raise interest rates by 50 basis points in September, according to economists polled by Reuters.

OBSERVATION - Already the fed has jacked the rates up far more than they were talking about doing over a year ago. What has the markets concerned is that the Fed will over react and force the country into a deeper recession or even a depression with too high of rates while the economy is still trying to stabilize out following the wuhan lockdown dumpster fire.

U.S. crude inventory in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) fell by 8.1 million barrels in the latest week to the lowest level in more than 35 years, according to data from the Department of Energy.
Stockpiles in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) fell to 453.1 million barrels in the week to Aug. 19, according to the data. The 8.1 million-barrel draw was the largest since the end of April and brought inventory to the lowest level since January 1985.

OBSERVATION - What better way to weaken ourselves in the event of a major situation (conflict or disaster) than to strip ourselves of our petroleum reserves. One more way biden is trying to kill the petroleum industry. Oh and don’t count of any further purchases.

Invasion of Illegals -

The Pentagon has denied a second request by Washington DC’s mayor to help receive migrants arriving from Republican-led states Texas and Arizona.

OBSERVATION - Sanctuary city - be careful of what you declare yourself to be.

POLITICAL FRONT -

According to memos obtained by Just the News, the Biden White House worked directly with the Justice Department and National Archives to launch the criminal investigation into Trump’s alleged mishandling of classified documents and deny Trump’s claims of executive privilege.
The memos show then-White House Deputy Counsel Jonathan Su was engaged in conversations with the FBI, DOJ and National Archives as early as April, shortly after 15 boxes of classified and other materials were voluntarily returned to the federal historical agency from Trump’s Florida home.
By May, Su conveyed to the Archives that President Joe Biden would not object to waiving his predecessor’s claims to executive claims, a decision that opened the door for DOJ to get a grand jury to issue a subpoena compelling Trump to turn over any remaining materials he possessed from his presidency.

OBSERVATION - We knew all along biden WH was up to their necks in this action.

Strategic Activity / Deployments -

The George H. W. Bush Carrier Strike Group has entered the 6th Fleet area of responsibility en route to relieve the Harry S. Truman CSG in the Mediterranean Sea.

China -

In the first week of August the Chinese Space Plane completed its second successful launch and is still in orbit. The first flight took place in early September 2020. China has yet to release any photos of what they call a reusable test spacecraft. There were satellite photos of the Chinese space plane after landing that showed a space plane similar in size to the American X-37B.

OBSERVATION - China continues to adapt US designs for its own purpose, short cutting years of research.

Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia is now entering its seventh month of fighting since starting on Feb 24th.

********
Russia is claiming that a Ukrainian citizen, Natalia Vovk, carried out the attack that killed the daughter of top Putin ally Alexander Dugin on Mondaybefore fleeing the country to Estonia. Russia has produced an Azoz battalion ID claiming to have belonged to her. (FYI It is a poorly photoshopped document instantly torn apart by online OSINT analysts)

Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Hot with widely scattered thunderstorms over parts of the 10 day forecast period

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is warning of a “particularly nasty” Russian attack this week ahead of Ukraine’s 31st independence day on Aug. 24. Russian forces have positioned more cruise-missile bearing warships in the Black Sea and rumors of other Russian forces in Belarus.
“We have information that Russia is stepping up efforts to launch strikes against Ukraine’s civilian infrastructure and government facilities in the coming days,” according to a US official said, to Reuters.

US Embassy in Kyiv issues a new alert “The Dept of State has information that Russia is stepping up efforts to launch strikes against Ukraine’s civilian infrastructure and government facilities in the coming days.”

OBSERVATION - Much of Russia’s artillery and missile campaign has been directed in one way or another against civilian targets. It would not be surprising if Russia launched a massive missile attack on Kyiv on the 24th.

24 HOUR ROUND UP -
Some pick up Russian ground attacks with some minor successes. Most significant are teh warnings of a Russian action on ore about Aug 24th.

Kyiv front ——
Active electronic warfare measures are reportedly being actively used in border districts with Belarus.

Increased warnings of Russian intent to strike civilian targets during the Ukranian Independence Day remembrances. _SEE US embassy warning above.

Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts - ——
NSR, except for scattered Russian artillery strikes on border city/villages.

Eastern (Kharkiv) front - Kharkiv is hit with more missiles and rockets overnight. Artillery and air strikes throughout the sector.

Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks southwest and southeast of Izyum near the Kharkiv-Donetsk Oblast border

Donetsk Oblast ——
Russian scattered artillery fire hit the eastern margin of the Slovyansk-Siversk-Bakhmut salient.

Russian forces continue to press attacks to the north and south of Bakhumt seeing minor success.

Russian forces continued ground attacks near the northern and western outskirts of Donetsk City on August 22. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian troops attempted to advance on Avdiivka from Novoselivka Druha and Krasnohorivka—both less than 10 km north of Avdiivka.

Scattered artillery and minor Russian ground forces attacks from Donetsk region westward into Zaporizka Oblast

Crimean Front ——
Russia intensified artillery and air strikes along the Kherson Oblast LOC. Mykolaiv region suffered under more Russian missiles attacks.

Ukrainian forces again struck the Antonivsky road bridge as a Russian convoy was transporting ammunition across the bridge. Images and footage of large fires on the Antonivsky road bridge are consistent with claims that Ukrainian strikes targeted explosives on the bridge.

Western / Central Ukraine ——
NSR

Russian Territory -—
Explosion reported at Mayskiy district of Belgorod, the result of failed missile launch.

Partisan Resistance ——
Ukrainian civilians attacked a Russian soldier in occupied Melitopol overnight on August 21-22.

Ammunition / logistical sites hit —
Huge explosions near Starobesheve, Donetsk. It looks like Ukraine just blew up a huge, well known base belonging to the separatist Slavyanskaya brigade. Facility has been ID’d for years now.

Ammo dump hit at Komsomolskoe, SE of Donetsk

OUTLOOK ——
Russia is facing a meat grinder like in the early phases of the war. This has enabled Ukraine to increasingly utilize the ATGM tactics successfully used in the defense of Kyiv. Russian ground attacks are spread out and poorly coordinated laterally.

Ukraine strikes via HIMARS continues to degrade Russian combat capabilities. This essentially forces major logistical points to relocate over 100 km from the front. This will continue to place an even greater burden on russian logistics. Add to this special ops / partisans strikes on deeper targets, well supporting the Russian artillery’s hunger for ammo becomes exponentially more difficult.

I don’t see any significant changes in the current status of the war for the near future.

Israel -

In a phonecall yesterday, Israel PM Lapid to French PM Macron: “Israel will not be bound by nuclear deal with Iran”

Lebanon -

Defense Minister Benny Gantz on Monday warned Lebanon’s Hezbollah that any attack on its gas assets could spark war, after the terror group threatened to “sever” Israel’s hands if it taps a disputed offshore field.
The warning came amid lengthy negotiations between the eastern Mediterranean neighbors, which do not have diplomatic relations, to settle a dispute over their maritime border.

OBSERVATION - I think Hezbollah is only spewing rhetoric at this stage. Israel’s recent attacks against PIJ show it is willing to preemptively strike terror targets, and you can bet your bars that the mossad with the help of disenchanted Lebanese, have Hezbollah’s infrastructure and storage sites pretty well mapped out.

Syria -

US “is deeply concerned about recent attacks along Syria’s northern border and urges all parties to maintain ceasefire lines,” says State Dept.

OBSERVATION - Addressing the potential for increased fighting by Turkish forces against the Kurds and syrian backed groups. Not currently at a high level from what Ive noted, but has strong potential given Turkish aggressiveness lately.

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan -

Heavy fighting underway between Taliban soldiers and Pakistani military forces in Tarkhoabay in Dand-E Patan in Paktia. Not clear what led to the clashes on the Durrand Line.