Replies

Happy weekend, have you stocked up your pantry lately?

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Globalism / Great Reset -

Take note - just because nothing specifically is stated in this section, much of the material in the following sections IS related.
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Wuhan virus -

The European Medicines Agency (EMA) database of adverse drug reactions is now reporting 46,160 deaths and 4,623,724 injuries following COVID-19 vaccines, while the United States’ Vaccine Adverse Events Recording System (VAERS) is now reporting 29,162 deaths and 1,314,594 injuries following COVID-19 vaccines.
https://medalerts.org/vaersdb/findfield.php?TABLE=ON&GROUP1=CAT&EVENTS=ON&VAX=COVID19

OBSERVATION - Should this country and world stave off the attempt to fall under global tyranny by the GGR, the despicable actions of govt and big Pharm need to be brought to court and put away for a long time. The reports of adverse results have passed the lefts ‘conspiracy theory’ level into reality.

Health care workers who were fired for not getting a COVID shot have won a major victory. The Liberty Counsel has announced a “historic” $10.3 million settlement in the nation’s first-of-its-kind classwide lawsuit.
The class action settlement against NorthShore University HealthSystem is on behalf of more than 500 current and former health care workers who were unlawfully discriminated against and denied religious exemptions from the COVID shot mandate, according to the non-profit religious rights law firm.

OBSERVATION - Justice moves slowly, but with decisions like this the doors of accountability for those who tried to force the now-demonstrated non protecting jab on unwilling victims will slowly open more.

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Economy -

The personal consumption expenditures price index rose 6.8%, the biggest 12-month move since the 6.9% increase in January 1982. The index rose 1% from May, tying its biggest monthly gain since February 1981.
Excluding food and energy, so-called core PCE increased 4.8% from a year ago, up one-tenth of a percentage point from May but off the recent high of 5.3% hit in February. On a monthly basis, core was up 0.6%, its biggest monthly gain since April 2021.
Economists had expected a slightly lower reading of 6.6 percent. This is the biggest year-over-year gain since January of 1982.

OBSERVATION - This is a raw inflation predictor. Don’t look for any relief from inflation any time soon.

The nationwide baby formula shortage has worsened with 70 percent of all brands reported out-of-stock, despite President Joe Biden’s efforts to make infant milk more accessible.
Families in Rhode Island and Vermont have been hardest hit by the shortage with out-of-stock rates at 79 percent and 78 percent, respectively.

OBSERVATION - Deliberate non-action by the administration. AS Rush used to say, their policy is “symbolism over substance” as they’ve only flown in enough formula to meet demands for a week.

The average rate on the popular 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 5.22% on Thursday from 5.54% on Wednesday, when the Fed announced its latest rate hike, according to Mortgage News Daily. The rate fell even further Friday to 5.13%. The drop Thursday also came on the heels of the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ gross domestic product report, which showed the U.S. economy contracted for the second straight quarter.

OBSERVATION - Economists are speculating that banks are trying to gauge what the economy and the fed will do next. Some view the recession as an indicator that the Fed will reverse course and lower rates and those banks don’t want to be stuck with high interest loans.
This has all gotten more volatile with the PCE indicating more record inflation, even after the first 75 point increase in the Fed rate and the most recent 75 point increase may not be the last, however in a recession, increasing rates are sure to make the recession even deeper.
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Invasion of Illegals -

Biden administration approved a plan to complete a section of the border wall near Yuma, Arizona. The plan includes filling four major gaps in the wall that continue to allow the Yuma area to be one of the busiest corridors for illegal immigration crossings.
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Biden / Harris watch -

Since Gallup started polling presidential approval in the 1950s, in fact, no one has ever rated more poorly in the summer of his second year than Biden. Gallup has Biden sitting at 38 percent approval today, the worst number of his term in their polling and the first time he’s been below the political Mendoza line of 40 percent. Among independents it’s 31 percent, also a new low. And he now enjoys the distinction of having the highest “strong disapproval” rating among members of the other party of any recent president.

OBSERVATION - Repeated - up front - reports like this coming from democrat friendly media sources continues to lend fire to rumors that the powers that be are setting up conditions for the removal (voluntarily or involuntarily) of biden from office.

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CW2/Domestic violence -

US House passes assault rifle ban, but bill likely doomed to fail in Senate, specifically targeting at least 45 semi-automatic weapons directly, including my hi-point 9mm carbine (ooooh scary black rifle). List matches similar one in Kalifornia.

OBSERVATION - Typical hot button issue for demonrats, however, general sentiment of the county is that this ban will not accomplish anything. In fact, the vote may have endangered more democrats seeking reelection.

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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

The Air Force is grounding the majority of its F-35 Joint Strike Fighter fleet today, due to a faulty component inside its ejection seat that could prevent the pilot from being able to safely egress from the aircraft during an emergency, Breaking Defense has learned.
In response to an inquiry, Air Combat Command spokeswoman Alexi Worley confirmed the temporary standdown of ACC-controlled F-35s.
“ACC’s F-35s do have Martin-Baker ejection seats, and on July 19, began a Time Compliance Technical Directive to inspect all of the cartridges on the ejection seat within 90 days,” she stated. “Out of an abundance of caution, ACC units will execute a stand-down on July 29 to expedite the inspection process. Based on data gathered from those inspections, ACC will make a determination to resume operations.”
Actions being taken on Navy/Marine F35s is not clear at this time.

OBSERVATION - And right when we could anticipate a conflict with China.
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China -

“If US fighter jets escort Pelosi’s plane into Taiwan, it is invasion. The PLA has the right to forcibly dispel Pelosi’s plane and the US fighter jets, including firing warning shots and making tactical movement of obstruction. If ineffective, then shoot them down,” Hu Xijin, a commentator with the Chinese state-affiliated Global Times, wrote on Twitter.

Diplomatic sources tell me Speaker Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan next week is expected to happen, in the early part of her Asia tour. Pelosi’s office says trip possible, but not confirmed

OBSERVATION - Currently, the USS Reagan is on station in the China sea (likely moving into position to protect any Pelosi visit to Taiwan). The USS Lincoln and its carrier group are in the western Pacific as part of exercises there. USS Tripoli (LHA-7) is currently at Okinawa. The US may use a two carrier show of force as was done in years past to discourage any Chinese military actions.
I’m personally wondering if this will turn into a type of Cuban missile crisis game of chicken. Though close, I don’t think China is ready to try to engage in open combat. However, it would be dangerous to make that assumption given their historical aggressiveness and aircraft harassment in the past.

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North/South Korea -

NUKE WATCH on going.

China’s Foreign Ministry demanded that South Korea not participate in the U.S.-Led Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, referred to as the Quad. The statement by Beijing was in response to a recent remark by South Korean Foreign Minister Park Jin, when he said the administration of new South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol might withdraw from the previous administration’s policies on China.

OBSERVATION - China appears to be worried about a key component of the Quad - the deployment of Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) anti-missile systems in Korea.

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Russia -
WAR WATCH - The Battle for Donbas is on - now entering its sixth month of the war since starting on Feb 24th.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russia now essentially controls Luhansk Oblast, Russian forces are now focusing on pushing toward the towns of Siversk, Feroivka and Bakhmut in the Donetsk region

ALSO - there is a lot of propaganda out there. I’m doing my best to filter that out or put into context. When In doubt I’ve been trying to identify questionable information.

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Logistics -
- Increased use of S300 missiles in a ground attack mode continues to raise eyebrows and speculation on the potential lack of Russian precision guided systems.

Russian Personnel Issues -
- Russia is still trying to scrape up volunteer battalions to throw into the war. The program has had limited success. However, any impact to fighting is expected to be limited due to training time (at least one month) and the overall quality of the soldiers once they reach the front line.
- Officer corps is struggling to rebuild itself with all the losses of officers at all levels.

Economic Impact -
- Observers are noting that Russia’s economic status has improved since the start of the war as Moscow has creatively found ways around the sanctions and has leveraged its strangle hold on Europe over natural gas supplies. However, the reported ‘good’ economic news by Russian is actually not there and sanctions are catastrophically crippling the Russian economy. It has become a battle of propagandas.
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Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Hot with scattered thunderstorms over parts of the 10 day forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP -
An explosion(s) killed and wounded scores of Ukrainian POWs in Russian-occupied Olenivka, Donetsk Oblast, on July 28. Ukraine and Russia are blaming each other for the attack and available visual evidence appears to support the Ukrainian claim more than the Russian. Int’l Red Cross is demanding access to the site.

The Ukrainian military today said it had killed scores of Russian soldiers and destroyed two ammunition dumps in fighting in the Kherson region, the focus of Kyiv’s counter-offensive in the south and a key link in Moscow’s supply lines. Claim has not yet been confirmed.

Kyiv front ——
NSR

Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts - ——
Russian army shelled border areas of Chernihiv and Sumy regions with howitzers and MLRS.

Eastern (Kharkiv) front -
Russian forces also continued to shell settlements near the Kharkiv-Donetsk Oblast border and struck Dolyna, Bohorodychne, Kurulka, Virnopillya, and Mazanivka.

Ground fighting has developed north of Kharkiv City with no major control of terrain changes. Attempts to recon an axis of attack from the Izyum was stopped by Ukrainan forces.

Kharkiv Oblast Head Oleg Synegubov stated that Russian forces struck Kharkiv City with S-300 missiles and targeted food production infrastructure in Bohodukhiv, Kharkiv Oblast

Combat south of Izyum at Brazhkivka and Dmytrivka. Elsewhere along the Izyum axis, Ukraine appears to have taken back control of Bohorodychne as there has been fighting to its north, close to Pasika. Russian forward areas south of Izyum have been reportedly pushed back. These areas roughly correspond to recent Russian artillery attacks.

Donetsk Oblast ——
Russian limited artillery fire hit all around the margins of the Slovyansk-Siversk-Bakhmut salient.

Russian forces continued ground attacks to the northeast and southeast of Bakhmut, and judging from the artillery fire in the salient, has received the priority for fire.

Russian forces escalated ground attacks on the northwestern outskirts of Donetsk City on July 29. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces are conducting ground assaults near Avdiivka, Kamyanka, Krasnohorivka, Vodyane, and Pisky, all north and northwest of Donetsk City.

Crimean Front -
Scattered artillery fire along the Kherson - Mykolaiv LOC.

Unconfirmed reports that Ukraine forces have had major success in the fight for Kherson. See 24 hour above.

Western / Central Ukraine ——
NSR

Russian Territory - ——
NSR

Partisan Resistance ——
Railway damaged as result of explosion at Kamysh-Zarya station in Zaporizhzhia region

Ammunition / logistical sites hit ——-
Russian ammunition dump reportedly hit in Kamyanka-Dniprovska, Zaporizhzhia Oblast
Southern outskirts of Nova Kakhovka, Russian ammo depot.
A Russian ammunition warehouse in Brylivka, approximately 64km southeast of Kherson City, and two Russian ammunition depots in Khersonskiy district were reportedly struck by Ukrainian forces.
Big fire reported in Alchevsk - suspect ammo/fuel dump
Big fire near Bohdanivka village near Kherson - suspect ammo/fuel dump
Fire at Krasnyi Partyzan near Yasinuvata, northeast of Donetsk - suspect ammo/fuel dump

OUTLOOK ——
No change from previous outlooks. Russia appears to be stuck in the east while a cloud of no information continues to cover the Kherson offensive.

Watching to see evidence of increased Ukranian action in the west and changes to Russian strategy in the east.

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Europe / NATO General -

Gazprom stopped gas supplies to Latvia as part of the July bid “due to violation of gas withdrawal conditions”
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Iran -

Analysts are evaluating the potential for Iran to switch to a first strike policy. Currently, Iran is postured for a retaliatory strike, utilizing Hezbollah and its own regional missiles. Iranian progress towards nuclear weapons and the clear threat by Israel to strike related facilities may be driving Iran to a first strike option. Iran would press Hezbollah to switch to preemption once it becomes convinced Israel is about to go on the offensive. Iran would want Hezbollah to degrade the IDF’s ability to launch an effective preemptive attack, so as to make an Israeli strike impractical.

OBSERVATION - Iranian firs strike may also cause Israel to strike with its nuclear arsenal instead of conventional weapons IMHO. The region would become very dangerous quickly.

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Iraq -

Protesters supporting Sadr’s political party have storm offices of Al Da’wa party and Al Hikmah movement in Baghdad’s Za’faraniyah neighborhood. More protests near the Green Zone in Baghdad with reports that it has been breached again.
Reports of a number of wounded in clashes with the Iraqi police in central Baghdad. Security forces have reportedly pulled back. There are increasing concerns of direct fighting between Sadr’s forces and those supporter of the Iranian back PM and militias

OBSERVATION - Conditions are ripe for direct conflict between Iran backed militias/parties and Sadr. Iran may have overplayed its hand in this policy tussle, but as of yet there appears to be no solution to the protests.
High risk of open civil warfare between opposing factions.

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Happy weekend, have you stocked up your pantry lately?

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Globalism / Great Reset -

Don’t remember if I posted this event or not. On July 19, 2022, UN Sec.-Gen. Guterres and WEF founder Klaus Schwab witnessed the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to form a strategic partnership and to accelerate the “Transforming our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.”

OBSERVATION - We are seeing the initial surge in this agenda in Sri Lanka, Canada and now incrementally in the US. An overt attack on farming and ranching. Read more below

A new study claims that air emissions from farms kill 17,000 Americans per year. It’s the first shot in a second try by the Biden administration’s Environmental Protection Agency to control American farms through junk science-fueled air pollution regulations.
The study is funded by a $10 million grant awarded by the Obama administration’s EPA, and pretends to examine fine dust and soot emissions (called “PM2.5”) from all farm operations — including machinery, tilling, fertilizer use, field burning, livestock movement, waste management and more.
It’s a silly study. For example, it estimates that total air emissions associated with U.S. apple production kill about 3.8 people per year somewhere in the general population.

OBSERVATION - The environmental nazis are pushing as quickly as possible to force GGR global warming ‘goals’ in the US. This is designed to mangle the farm and ranch components of our economy and push us toward a Dutch/Canadian style of forced cut back in food production.

MORE OBSERVATIONS - The attack on US farms and ranches is closely tied to the United Nations “Agenda 2030” Sustainable Development Goals and the U.N.’s partners at the World Economic Forum (WEF).
Indeed, several of the U.N.’s 17 “Sustainable Development Goals” (SDGs) are directly implicated in policies that are squeezing farmers, ranchers, and food supplies around the world. Implementation of these policies will not only reduce food production but destroy a large swath of the economy too boot. BTW, remember the UN’s bleat for countries facing food shortages now - it will get worse under their very own policies. The only way they will address it is to take from countries with food and give to the needy - good old communism at its worst.

As Germany’s natural gas supply runs dry, major corporations that use it such as chemical giant BASF are having to pay more for what they can get while also drastically cutting production.

OBSERVATION - BASF produces a bunch of ammonia, which requires large amounts of gas in order to produce. Much of this ammonia is used in fertilizers. Less fertilizer, higher costs and lower yields.

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Wuhan virus -

see biden getting wuhan a second time this month.

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Economy -

Things still shaky following last weeks economic news.
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Biden / Harris watch -

Biden tests positive for Wuhan again. His physician has deemed a case of post-Paxlovid “‘rebound’ positivity”

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CW2/Domestic violence -

NYC drug store puts $3.99 tins of SPAM and $3.49 tins of HAM in theft-proof cases as crime wave grips Big Apple.

OBSERVATION - Kalifornia stores have long been locking up pilfierable and high demand items in security cabinets for several years now, following feel good crime measures which basically allowed open season on stores by shoplifters. But Spam???

biden’s war against the military continues as his proxies continue to ignore court mandates. While federal courts have ordered the Navy and Air Force not to take any adverse actions against military members seeking religious exemptions to the COVID-19 vaccine mandate, the Coast Guard is seeking to discharge service members refusing the vaccine without allowing them to appear before administrative separation boards to defend their cases.

OBSERVATION - The purge of the military continues as the left tries to shape the military into a force that will due its bidding by eliminating as may as they can harbing conservative principles. . biden has weaponed the vaccination order to cull more out of the military through blanket denials of religious exemptions as well as continuation of the forcing of wuhan vaccines that are still experimental and cannot be lawfully ordered since the military has not made fully FDA-approved versions of the vaccines available to its members.

Reports last week of a man in Delaware who answered his door to find law enforcement–both state police and the ATF–checking on whether he still owned the guns he recently purchased are still reverberating through the 2d amendment community.

OBSERVATION - Take the following in consideration - I’m not a lawyer, but this is guidance put out by pro-2d amendment organizations and their lawyers.
First - The ATF doesn’t have the authority to just demand to see what you own. They’re not even supposed to Second - ATF cannot just show up and demand to inspect your property without a warrant. They can, however, ask. Without probable cause or a warrant you’re not required to show them anything.

Suffice it to say ATF and other govt agencies most likely have a covert data base of gun owners - in violation of federal law. Should things go sideways consider this as they may cease asking to see and just bust down down the door.

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POLITICAL FRONT -

A producer working for the Congressional January 6th Committee, Dan Przygoda, posted violent threats towards President Trump supporters on Twitter as recently as President Trump’s inauguration, on January 20th, 2017.

OBSERVATION - Shocked, shocked I tell you. . . . . .
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

Disposition/location of the USS Reagan carrier task force other than located in the south china sea is under close hold. No doubt it is positioning to provide protection to pelosi.
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China -

China held a rare live-fire exercise off the coast of Fujian province in the Taiwan Strait on July 30. Exercise designed to intimidate pelosi et al.

Pelosi reportedly departed on her Asia trip No word on if she will go to Taiwan. Her itinerary currently lists visits to Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea and Japan.

OBSERVATION - She’ll likely make an unannounced visit to try to keep China guessing and get out before China does anything stupid. She is a stubborn old goat and won’t let the prospect of displaying her self as the brave world leader get stripped away.

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North/South Korea -

NUKE WATCH on going.

North Korea reports no new cases for first time since COVID outbreak. Observers are skeptical.
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Russia -
WAR WATCH - The Battle for Donbas is on - now entering its sixth month of the war since starting on Feb 24th.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russia now essentially controls Luhansk Oblast, Russian forces are now focusing on pushing toward the towns of Siversk, Feroivka and Bakhmut in the Donetsk region

ALSO - there is a lot of propaganda out there. I’m doing my best to filter that out or put into context. When In doubt I’ve been trying to identify questionable information.

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Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Hot with scattered thunderstorms over parts of the 10 day forecast period

24 HOUR ROUND UP -
Zelensky orders mandatory evacuations in Ukraine’s Donetsk region as fighting intensifies. Zelensky also said the hundreds of thousands of people still in combat zones in the Donbas region needed to leave. ‘The more people leave (the) Donetsk region now, the fewer people the Russian army will have time to kill,’ Zelensky said.

Russia appears to have focused its attacks in the east on Bakhmut with secondary axis north east of Donetsk.

Kyiv front ——
NSR

Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts - ——
Scattered Russian artillery fire

Eastern (Kharkiv) front -
Russian forces continued to shell settlements near the Kharkiv-Donetsk Oblast border …..

Kharkiv was just hit hard by four large strikes

Russian scout group attempted to recon Ukrainian positions at Nova Husarivka-Husarivka, located about half way between Kharkiv and Izyum.

Donetsk Oblast ——
Russian limited artillery fire hit all around the margins of the Slovyansk-Siversk-Bakhmut salient.

Russian attacks again focused on avenues north and south of Bakhmut. Russian forces had been “partially successful” in establishing control over the settlement of Semyhirya

No ground action noted in the Sieversk area to the north.

Russian artillery and airstrikes have concentrated in the of towns/villages Novokalynove, Tonenke, Opytne, Vodiane, Pisky and Nevelske northwest of Donetsk. Believed Russian attempt to shape the battlefield for an attempt to break through towards the M-04 road network and push Ukrainan artillery out of range of Donetsk

Crimean Front -
Rail traffic to Kherson over the Dnipro River had been cut, the military’s southern command said, potentially further isolating Russian forces west of the river from supplies in occupied Crimea and the east.

Russian forces continued heavy artillery strikes on civilian infrastructure in Mykolaiv City and Nikopol, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, on July 28-29. Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command reported that Russian forces used 12 S-300 missiles to strike Mykolaiv City from the Hola Prystan direction (just southwest of Kherson City).

Scattered artillery fire along the Kherson - Mykolaiv LOC.

Western / Central Ukraine ——
NSR

Russian Territory - ——
NSR

Partisan Resistance ——

( TASS) “Celebrations in honor of the Navy Day in Sevastopol have been canceled. Residents are asked to stay at home. The headquarters of the Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol was attacked by the Ukrainian side, presumably using a drone. Five people were injured. Drone attack at Black Sea Fleet HQ was carried out from inside Sevastopol, according to occupation authorities.

Ammunition / logistical sites hit ——-
There was an explosion at the airfield in Melitopol
Big fire at suspected logistics site Kyivsky district of Donetsk

OUTLOOK ——
Not much change, tempo of ground action down except for the potential change in objectives by Russia (see Donetsk Oblast above). It appears that Russian efforts are not very organized with the exemption of the push on Bakhmut and outward from Donetsk. There are hints that Russia is considering offensive operations against Kharkiv and westward out of Izyum but these may be feints to divert resources from the growing Ukraninan offensive towards Kherson.
The Ukraninan govt expects an uptick in the fighting in the east and is calling for more civilian evacuations. However, Russian just doesn’t seem to be getting its act together as of late, nor expected in the near future.

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Iraq -

Volunteers shuttled back and forth in fleets of pickups to Iraq’s normally secure Green Zone Saturday as protesters who occupied parliament earlier in the day settled in for the long haul.

Sadr has resorted to using his large grass-roots following as a pressure tactic against his rivals, after his party was not able to form a government despite having won the largest number of seats in the federal elections held last October. With neither side willing to concede, and al-Sadr intent on derailing government formation efforts lead by his rivals.

OBSERVATION - It has been 10 months since the election and no govt has been able to be formed. Part of this crisis was caused by Sadr’s party exiting government formation talks in June. Potential for civil war still very high.

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Lebanon -

Next week marks the second anniversary of the Beirut port explosion. In the two years since the disaster in the heart of Lebanon’s capital city, the investigation into the blast has stalled and the Lebanese people still have not received a full accounting of nor justice for what happened. And they are still suffering the consequences of the deadly blast.

OBSERVATION - Many are still blaming Hezebollah for the blast along with the deteriorating economic situation. For those old enough to remember, Lebanon and Beirut were a garden spot tourist destination with a thriving economy in the late 60’s and early 70’s. The rise of radical islam following the ouster of the Shah of Iran spread into the country inciting civil war that ruined the country.
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