Running late again, sorry
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Globalism / Great Reset -
Lots of internet talk about how we are supposed to abandon our car for the electric revolution.
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Economy -
Biden administration continues to double and triple down on its claims that the US is not in a recession, seeking to back up its redefinition of the word “recession” in an economical sense. Wednesday is the day IIRC that GDP data is released. However, as hard as the regime is trying to spin it ahead of release indicates that it is not going to be a good number.
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Invasion of Illegals -
The yearly count for migrant deaths at the United States-Mexico border has already surged to an all-time high, despite three months being left in the 2021-22 fiscal year, according to the Washington Examiner’s interpretation of data provided by the U.S. Customs and Border Protection.
For the period covering October 2021 through June 2022, 609 border deaths were reported, eclipsing the 566 deaths from October 2020 to September 2021 — the previous annual high.
Biden administration wants to provide temporary identification cards to illegal immigrants who are awaiting final decisions on their cases, Axios reported.
Officials are considering a pilot program that would help immigrants access housing, health care, transportation and other benefits, two government sources told Axios.
The program also would encourage more frequent communication with law enforcement throughout the legal process, the sources added.
OBSEVATONS - We all know that this is just a step towards providing them what will essentially be a green card and “legalizin”g them
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POLITICAL FRONT -
Alan Dershowitz rebuked the House Jan. 6 Select Committee and its supporters, the pursuit to “get” former President Donald Trump has Democrats and anti-Trump Republicans willing to “trash the Constitution.”
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China -
China has dispatched stricter admonishments to U.S. Functionaries about Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s probable visit to Taiwan a foreign ministry representative said on Monday; verifying a report by the Financial Times..
The “hush-hush” discourse conveys notions of possible military action according to the Financial Times citing 6 sources close to the situation.
OBSERVATION - If China takes any kind of action against Pelosi, it would be a declaration of war. There are the military options, but still they have the potential to start a broader war.
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North/South Korea -
NUKE WATCH on going.
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Russia -
WAR WATCH - The Battle for Donbas is on - now entering its sixth month of the war since starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russia now essentially controls Luhansk Oblast, Russian forces are now focusing on pushing toward the towns of Siversk, Feroivka and Bakhmut in the Donetsk region
ALSO - there is a lot of propaganda out there. I’m doing my best to filter that out or put into context. When In doubt I’ve been trying to identify questionable information.
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Logistics -
- Russia is withdrawing 2S7 howitzers from storage at the 94th arsenal located in the city of Omsk. In early April, 170 2S7s were visible in GE imagery. In Planet imagery of June 2, 135 were visible. In the last available images, dated July 18, 110 howitzers were still stored.
OBSERVATION - Many analysts assess these older S7’s as being in poor shape, like much of the other stored Russian material. Further reports of barrel failure due to poor quality metal and craftsmanship increasing.
Russian Personnel Issues -
- Still reports of personnel recruitment issues as well as desertions from units already in theater
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Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST - Milder with thunderstorms and rain over parts of the 10 day forecast period
24 HOUR ROUND UP -
Things relatively static though monitoring unconfirmed reports of some minor Russian gains in the east and Ukraine gains in the west.
Ukraine’s Minister of Infrastructure announced that the first shipment of grain will leave the port of Chornomorsk on July 27.
Kyiv front ——
Nothing significant to report (NSR)
Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts - ——
NSR
Eastern (Kharkiv) front -
Russian forces continue shelling Kharkiv Oblast, a wider number of targets than recent, but volume is uncertain, but from reports appear to be lower than it has been
Donetsk Oblast ——
Russian artillery fire concentrated on the eastern and southeastern margins of the Slovyansk-Siversk-Bakhmut salient.
Russian forces reportedly have captured a small town on the southern edge of the Slovyansk-Siversk-Bakhmut salient.
Crimean Front -
Appears that artillery and ground action along the Kherson LOC dropped way down overnight.
Western / Central Ukraine ——
Air sirens through out the region - scattered misile attqacks. No details on who got hit.
Russian Territory - ——
NSR
Partisan Resistance ——
NSR
Ammunition / logistical sites hit ——-
Explosions reported in Berdiansk, located southwest of Mariupol.
NASA’s FIRMS recently detected a fire at a fuel storage facility in the Budonivskyi district of Donetsk.
OUTLOOK ——
Still low levels of activity in the east. Some increase in fighting in the west - better reporting beginning to come out. Russia really showing no signs of breaking out of their doldrums yet.
Real event is the fight for Kherson and trying to find out just what is happening there. Hopefully things will loosen up and I can get a better feel for what’s happening then.
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Israel -
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah warned Monday that all Israeli land and sea “targets” are within the range of the terror group’s missiles in the latest series of threats against the Jewish state amid an ongoing maritime dispute. Hezbollah has recently escalated its rhetoric and actions over the border dispute after Israel moved a natural gas drilling vessel into its Karish field, which Lebanon claims is a disputed area. In its boldest move, Hezbollah sent four drones toward the Karish platform late last month, all of which were intercepted by the Israel Defense Forces.
OBSERVATION - I don’t believe Hezbollah is ready to military strike in a significant way the gas rigs or Israel proper in this dispute.
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Lebanon -
See Israel above
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Another beautiful day in the Redoubt.
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Globalism / Great Reset -
Justin Trudeau is set to move forward with his government’s plan to reduce nitrogen emissions by limiting fertilizer use among Canadian farmers. The revelation came following a Friday meeting between Trudeau and Canadian provincial ministers, where the prime minister unexpectedly announced his decision to cap fertilizer emissions by unilaterally targeting the country’s agricultural sector.
The targets set by the federal government include a bid “to reduce absolute levels of [greenhouse gas] emissions arising from fertilizer application by 30% below 2020 levels by 2030,” which the Trudeau administration previously announced in December 2020.
“We’re really concerned with this arbitrary goal,” said Saskatchewan Minister of Agriculture David Marit. “The Trudeau government has apparently moved on from their attack on the oil and gas industry and set their sights on Saskatchewan farmers.”
OBSERVATION - This is essentially the same course of action the governments of the Netherlands and Sri Lanka have followed. 30% reduction will result in about a 30% reduction in farm income. Provence affected may soon be revisiting their own continued affiliation with the nation.
If this trend continues, I’d expect that New Zealand and Australia may well be close behind. Both are identified based on the flat out totaltiarian wuhan response and passivity of the citizenry..
SEC proposed a rule titled “The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for Investors” (pdf). The nearly 500-page rule would require SEC registrants—mostly public companies, investment advisers, and broker-dealers—to report certain climate-related information including their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
OBSERVATION - Cutting to the quick, the proposed rule calls for corporations to track usage of its products by consumers. This appears to be one way Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) scoring and tracking can be bootlegged in.
Just one day after officials promoted the passage of the Connecticut Clean Air Act, CTtransit, the Connecticut Department of Transportation’s bus service, has pulled its entire fleet of electric buses due to one bursting into flames. The electric vehicles have been replaced with traditional diesel-powered buses.
OBSERVATION - Battery fires are the single most dangerous aspect of EVs.
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Wuhan virus -
It is clear by their words that Fauci and Blix both lied through their teeth in regards to the jab as well. As the lockdown of the country.
Biden’s doctor, said Tuesday that the president “feels well enough to resume his physical exercise regime” on the fifth day of isolation after testing positive for COVID-19, and his symptoms have “almost completely resolved.”
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Economy -
The Fed is expected to raise its federal-funds rate by 0.75 percentage point, to a range between 2.25% and 2.5%
Commerce Department’s second-quarter 2022 GDP estimate is due tomorrow and the administration is wetting themselves trying to spin the results ahead of the release.
The index of consumer confidence fell to 95.7 in July from a revised 98.4 in the prior month, the Conference Board said Tuesday. The decline was larger than expected. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a decline to 97 from the initial June reading of 98.7.
National railroad strike still hangs over the nation, but union hasn’t decided to drop the hammer - yet.
What in the world is a “pre-recession”? White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre floated out that term yesterday while denying that the US has entered a recession, apparently hoping to convince people that we’re not even close to one:
The U.S. has been ramping up exports to Europe in an effort to help, and one official is openly admitting that this could cause a dramatic increase in prices here in the United States…
“This was our biggest fear,” said the US official. The impact on Europe could boomerang back onto the US, spiking natural gas and electricity prices, the official said. It will also be a major test of European resilience and unity against Russia, as the Kremlin shows no signs of retreating from Ukraine.
According to Wolf Richter, the price of U.S. natural gas has “more than doubled” over the past year…
So here we go again. This morning, natural gas futures jumped to $8.29 per million Btu, adding to the jumps over the past week. The price has regained much of the lost spike, and is up about 30% from a month ago, and has more than doubled from a year ago.
OBSERVATION - Losses of a couple natural gas facilities here in the US, combined with more gas being shipped to europe does spell problems here. I’ve already stocked up on firewood and may revisit the addition of an additional cord in the next couple months.
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Biden / Harris watch -
‘I am Kamala Harris, my pronouns are she and her, I am a woman sitting at the table wearing a blue suit,’ the vice president said at the top of the meeting.
OBSERVATION - Well, somehow they realized they are ‘women’. Epic facepalm moment.
https://imgflip.com/i/2wdv4g
On Monday, the president’s comms team put together a clip of him ranting about “insurrection,” Biden goes a full 42 seconds without blinking (0:41-1:23 in the video).
OBSERVATION - Some have called this a deep fake. IDK, but his behavior in the video is unusual - even for him. How many times the average person blinks in a minute. The answer is somewhere between 15-20 times. Not one blink in that period and his vision unceasingly glued to the teleprompter.
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CW2/Domestic violence -
Attorney General Merrick Garland left open the possibility that former President Donald Trump could be prosecuted in connection with inciting the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection in an exclusive interview Tuesday with NBC News.
“Look, we pursue justice without fear or favor,” Garland told NBC News’ Lester Holt, when asked whether indicting a former president would “arguably tear the country apart.”
OBSERVATION- they “pursue justice without fear or favor”, one would have to be totally blind to accept this. Any attempt to arrest and prosecute trump is the closest event that could trigger a CW
“Our Department of Justice is being weaponized as a political hit squad,” Former Democrat congresswoman (Hawaii) Tulsi Gabbard said Monday, commenting on how Democrats held in contempt of Congress have not been indicted, but former Trump White House official Steve Bannon has.
“The really dangerous thing that we’re seeing, as a consequence of what’s playing out here in this double standard that you’ve pointed out, is the clear message of fear: that, if you speak out against us, if you’re an opponent of the Powers-That-Be, then the Department of Justice can go after you and charge you and prosecute you.
“However, if you are on the other team, if you are in agreement with, or liked by, those in power, then we’re going to treat you kindly, or you’ll get off the hook, and you won’t be treated in the same way that your political opponents will be.”
“This is the telltale sign of an authoritarian regime and directly undermines our democracy. That is really what’s at the core of what’s wrong here,” Gabbard warned.
OBSERVATION - The two tier justice system that has exploded under biden is a prime example of how teh regime is at war with most americans. One thing that has been present in American culture in the past and that was fairness. When one side is treated differently than another - largely on the basis of politics or religion, the people get riled up. This will likely be on of the key grievances the next CW will be based on IMHO.
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China -
Taiwan Ministry of Defense reports that 3 PLA aircraft (Y-8 RECCE and JH-7*2) entered Taiwan’s southwest ADIZ on July 27, 2022
OBSERVATION - this is a daily occurrence pretty much, so hasn’t been posted a lot lately.
Biden and Chinese President Xi are expected to have a phoncon soon to discuss many issues, among which is Taiwan.
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North/South Korea -
NUKE WATCH on going.
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Russia -
WAR WATCH - The Battle for Donbas is on - now entering its sixth month of the war since starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russia now essentially controls Luhansk Oblast, Russian forces are now focusing on pushing toward the towns of Siversk, Feroivka and Bakhmut in the Donetsk region
ALSO - there is a lot of propaganda out there. I’m doing my best to filter that out or put into context. When In doubt I’ve been trying to identify questionable information.
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Russian Personnel Issues -
- The Kremlin continued measures to recruit additional volunteer battalions to support Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Observers note that efforts are focusing on areas that are not ethnic Russians, raising pushback that the kremlin is trying to avoid a general mobilization by recruiting these ‘hicks’ as soldiers and not ethnic Russians.
- Reports that Russia is emphasizing recruitment of medical specialists, to handle the casualities.
- Some recent estimates of Russian deaths in the fight have it as high as 40,000. Getting an accurate count on either side is difficult given the battle conditions and they OPSEC.
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Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST - Milder with thunderstorms and rain over parts of the 10 day forecast period
24 HOUR ROUND UP -
Both sides launching significant missile strikes against the other. Ukraine is close to effectively isolating a large number of Russian forces in the Kherson Oblast as more details come out on the offensive there.
Kyiv front ——
Nothing significant to report (NSR)
Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts - ——
NSR other than scattered Russian artillery attacks.
Eastern (Kharkiv) front -
Russian forces appeared to have focused its artillery and missile strikes mostly on Kharkiv with S-300 missiles
Futher south, Russian artillery hit along the western and southern margins o the Izyum salient.
Donetsk Oblast ——
Russian artillery fire hit all around the margins of the Slovyansk-Siversk-Bakhmut salient. Russian made minor gains south of Bakhmut as of July 26:
- RU forces entered Vuhlehirska plant and seized the main complex, UA troops retreated
- RU advanced in the area of Novoluhanske, UA troops likely retreated as well Wagner Group mercenaries reportedly lead the attacks in these areas.
Scattered Russian artillery southwestward from Donetsk to
Crimean Front -
Ukraine has definitely launched its offensive in the northern sector of the Kherson - Mykolaiv front. They may have broken out of its bridgehead at Davydiv Brid and liberated Lozove and Andriivka village of Beryslav district to the south. This northern pincer appears to be moving southward along the eastern bank of the Inhulets River.
The Antonovskiy Bridge across the Dnipro River in Kherson has been hit a third time by Ukrainian HIMARS rockets. Follow on examination of post strike commercial satellite imagery indicates that the bridge is no longer usable. Around 15 explosions heard by locals according to reports. Ukraine missiles also struck railway bridge nearby.
In response, reports coming out that Russian forces are attempting to establish a pontoon crossing over the Inhulets River in Darivka (approximately 24 km northeast of Kherson City) to resume transport of heavy equipment.
Ukrainian Air Force Command Spokesperson Yuriy Ignat reported that Russian bombers fired 13 air missiles at the coastal settlement of Zatoka south of the Dniester Estuary and other unspecified areas in Odesa Oblast from the Black Sea. Mykolaiv Oblast Administration Head Vitaly Kim reported that Russian forces fired 18 missiles (six Kh-59 cruise missiles and twelve S-300 modified air defense missiles) at Mykolaiv Oblast, and about half of the missiles hit a defunct railway bridge, industrial areas, residential buildings, and critical infrastructure.
Western / Central Ukraine ——
More scattered missile attacks across the region.
Russian Territory - ——
In a first for the war so far, today Ukrainian forces are confirmed to have used a US-supplied Switchblade 300 loitering munition on Russian territory, at the Troebortnoe crossing in Bryansk Oblast, barely 2km from the Ukrainian border
Partisan Resistance ——
Reports continue that the Kremlin plans to annex occupied Ukrainian territory into Russia via falsified referenda.
Ammunition / logistical sites hit ——-
The Ukrainian Southern Operational Command stated that Ukrainian forces destroyed a command post and an ammunition depot of the 11th Separate Guards Air Assault Brigade (based in Ulan Ude, Buryatia) in northern Kherson Oblast on July 25.
OUTLOOK ——
Slight uptick in reported ground action. Ukraine’s hitting bridges over the Dnipir River, cutting off a substantial portion of Kherson Oblast from enforcement and supply, is taking hold as well as their offensive. Details are still sketchy as neither side wants the details to come out. However, it looks like a attack on Kherson from the west are freezing Russian forces and allowing greater action from the north.
Minor Russian gains in the east in part are linked to Ukrainian force realignments. It has been noted by some that Russia has spent over a month attempting to capture some of these small villages. That’s a lot of effort with little to show for it.
Expect more of the same over the short term.
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Moldova/Transnistria -
Russia claims a citizen of Moldova was killed and another is in the hospital, both “civilians”. Ukraine claims FSB officer (border control is formally all FSB) was killed. The area where it happened is an office of the “Alexandrovskiy” customs control point, though.
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Iraq -
Turkey’s consulate general in the northern Iraqi city of Mosul was attacked early on Wednesday but there were no reported casualties, the Turkish foreign ministry said.
Mortar rounds had fallen close to the building, one official said.
“We condemn this attack...in the strongest terms and expect those responsible to be brought to justice as soon as possible,” the ministry said.
OBSERVATION - Turkey has pasted a ‘hit me’ sign to their back following the attack on an Iraqi resort. This has them being hit with both Iranian and Iraqi supported militias, and will make Turkey’s anti Kurd operations in northern Iraq more costly.
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Lebanon -
Hezbollah’s Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah has upped his rhetoric, threatening to use force to stop Israel from extracting gas. “If the extraction of oil and gas from Karish begins in September before Lebanon obtains its right, we would be heading to ‘a problem’ and we’ll do anything to achieve our objective,” Nasrallah said in an interview on Al Mayadeen TV on Tuesday night.
OBSERVATION - The Karish field is south of the area being negotiated between Lebanon and Israel. General intelligence assessment is that Nasrallah is not foolish enough to start a regional war over this - however, the geopolitical status of the region is very volatile and any thing can happen very quickly.
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Turkey -
See Iraq above
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Libya -
Photos of Dbeibeh (GNU) forces that entered Tripoli International Airport amidst the ongoing tensions with Bashagha forces (GNS) hit the interwebs. This increases tensions in the country that open civil war may break out again.
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Misc of Note -
The NYC emergency management agency advised residents to prepare a ‘Go Bag’ that “has everything you need to to leave home in a hurry.”
“Every household member should have on, including kids,” the agency notes. “What will you pack? Nonperishable snacks. Bottle water. Copies of important documents.”
This follows a recent PSA about how to react to a nuclear attack.
OBSERVATION - These PSAs have raised the eyebrows of many and conspiracies claims are afoot. As a prepper, the info being put out is reasonable. What is creating the stir is timing and motive. Why has this hit the NYC radar so suddenly? Please note - similar PSAs on emergency preparedness are put out there in other cities/states, so lets not get too crazy - yet.
Please enough monkeying around. As monkeypox continues to spread, with nearly 3,500 cases now reported in the United States, the Biden administration is weighing whether to declare the outbreak a public health emergency.
OBSERVATION - The disease spread is tightly limited to the gay/bisexual community. Its all about money at this stage and not about the behavior that has contributed to the spread of the disease.