****** WARNING ******
USN deployments still unexplained. biden essentially gave Russia he green light in his press conference to attack.
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Globalism / Great Reset -
The direct imposition of permanent annual taxes on the earnings of the world’s richest individuals could redistribute wealth and lift millions out of poverty, a report presented to the World Economic Forum (WEF) on Wednesday outlined.
Under the globalist proposal, supranational taxation would start at a rate of two percent on wealth over $5 million and progress to five percent on wealth over $1 billion, generating $2.52 trillion. This would be in addition to – and on top of – whatever taxes are imposed at source by individual national authorities.
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Wuhan virus -
Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced an end to COVID restrictions in England, including face masks in public places and vaccine passports. Johnson said on Wednesday that the government would end its advisory telling people to work from home.
According to the BBC:
* Mandatory Covid passports for entering nightclubs and large events would end, though organisations could choose to use the NHS Covid pass if they wished
* People would no longer be advised to work from home and should discuss their return to offices with employers
* Face masks will no longer be mandated, though people are still advised to wear coverings in enclosed or crowded spaces and when meeting strangers
* From Thursday, secondary school pupils will no longer have to wear face masks in classrooms and government guidance on their use in communal areas would be removed “shortly.”
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Economy -
Futures in New York rose as much as 1.9% to climb above $87 a barrel. The global oil market has tightened in recent weeks due to outages in OPEC+ producers including Libya, with buyers in Asia paying sharply higher premiums for spot cargoes.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is boosting its forecasts for global benchmark Brent, predicting $100 oil in the third quarter
IN RELATED - A spike in gas prices will likely begin in March, according to Patrick De Haan, the head of petroleum at GasBuddy. De Haan says all Americans may soon be facing California-esque gas prices.
Biden’s rising inflation could push gas prices for regular unleaded fuel to above $4 a gallon. “We’ll start to see gasoline demand surge, along with refiners doing maintenance ahead of the summer driving season, creating a squeeze” De Haan told Fox Business.
Earlier this month, GasBuddy projected the national average price for a gallon of gasoline could climb to a high of $4.13 in June. California cities could have average costs of over $5. Currently the nationwide average is $3.314 per gallon according to the American Automobile Association.
OBSERVATION - Fuel prices increases will quickly spread to other sectors of the economy as those costs for increased shipping get passed on to consumers.
Canadian trucking vaccine mandates have hit and canadian grocery stores are reporting increased shortages. Jan 22 the US will impost similar, totally screwing up cross border trade as only about 80% of canadian truckers are vaccinated and a much lower percentage of US are.
The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits unexpectedly climbed to the highest level since mid-October as an unprecedented surge in COVID-19 cases driven by the highly contagious omicron variant threatened to undermine the economy’s recovery. Figures released Thursday by the Labor Department show that applications for the week that ended on Jan. 15 jumped to 286,000 from a revised 231,000 a week earlier, sharply missing the 220,000 forecast by Refinitiv analysts.
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Biden watch -
Biden on Wednesday predicted a Russian invasion of Ukraine, citing existential concerns by the country’s president, Vladimir Putin, even as he warned of significant economic consequences should such an incursion occur.
But he suggested a “minor incursion” would elicit a lesser response than a full-scale invasion of the country. “I’m not so sure he is certain what he is going to do. My guess is he will move in. He has to do something,” Biden said CNN’s Matthew Chance (who’s in Kyiv) just reported that Ukrainian officials “watched those remarks with horror”
biden’s remarks required Psaki to issue a clarification statement - “If any Russian military forces move across the Ukrainian border, that’s a renewed invasion”
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POLITICAL FRONT -
The senate defeated the attempt at changing the filibuster rule 52-48
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -
******** WARNING - SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENTS *********
Still no statement regarding the deployment of naval vessels from the US. USNI News still shows nothing in US. Only units depicted are those in the vicinity of the Japan Sea.
See link below to USNI map as of Jan 18, 2022
https://news.usni.org/2022/01/18/usni-news-fleet-and-marine-tracker-jan-18-2022#jp-carousel-91311
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China -
China is issuing a warning to athletes who will be competing in the games: Keep your mouth shut or else.
“Any expression that is in line with the Olympic spirit, I’m sure will be protected. Any behavior or speeches that are against the Olympic spirit, and especially against Chinese laws and regulations are also subjected to certain punishment,” Yang Shu, the deputy director general of the international relations department of the Beijing organizing committee, said on Wednesday.
“There’s really not much protection that we believe is going to be afforded to athletes,” Rob Koehler, the director general of the Global Athlete group, said during the seminar, according to Reuters. “So we’re advising athletes not to speak up. We want them to compete and use their voice when they get home.”
China lowered mortgage lending benchmark rates on Thursday as monetary authorities step up efforts to prop up the slowing economy, after data earlier in the week pointed to a darkening outlook for the country’s troubled property sector.
OBSERVATION - The Everclear meltdown combined with economic losses due to China’s Covid Zero policy locking down towns, factories and shipping ports have damaged China’s GDP growth projections. They are having to loosen the purse strings contrary to what the rest of the world which is tightening finances.
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North Korea -
North Korea hinted on Thursday that it could resume nuclear and long-range weapons tests. North Korea said that it would bolster its defenses against the United States and consider restarting “all temporally [sic] suspended activities,” state media KCNA’s English language portal reported on Thursday.
Kim Jong Un convened a meeting of the politburo of the ruling Workers’ Party on Wednesday, KCNA said.
The meeting was convened to discuss policy issues including countermeasures over “hostile” US policy.
Besides discussing the restarting “temporally suspended activities,” the politburo also called for “immediately bolstering more powerful physical means.”
“We should make more thorough preparation for a long-term confrontation with the U.S. imperialists,” the politburo said.
“The hostile policy and military threat by the US have reached a danger line that cannot be overlooked anymore.”
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Russia -
INCREASED WARNING ONGOING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Current indicators are that Russia is more inclined to launch a full scale attack against the Ukraine with the purpose of overthrowing the government.
Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.
Six Russian naval landing ships that created a security stir in Sweden have sailed south past Britain from the Baltic Sea. According to Russian Defense Ministry, the forces of the Russian Pacific, Northern and Baltic fleets will conduct exercises in the Mediterranean Sea. The six large landing ships of the Russian Navy is heading to the Mediterranean Sea for exercises, - the Russian Defense Ministry.
The Russian Defense Ministry also said the Russian Navy will conduct drills of all fleets in January-February. 140 vessels, 60 aircraft, 10000 servicemen including maneuvers in the White Sea and the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans
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Ukraine -
U.S. Secretary of State Blinken summed up Russia’s negotiating position as, “hand over Ukraine to our sphere of influence, or we will end Ukraine as it is. Those are the stakes.”
WEATHER UPDATE - Forecasts suggest sub-zero temperatures across the entirety of Belarus spreading southward into Ukraine through the 28th of the month, with a particularly cold shot of air near the 23rd.
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Belarus -
Russian troops have officially arrived in the Belarusian town of Yelsk, 18km from Ukraine according to a local news report.
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Thanks for the updates.
Maintain a ‘heads up” posture as the Russian / Ukraine situation can break loose at any moment.
Color Key
BLACK - An area worth noting, but not immediately impacting on US safety
BLUE - Incidents increasing and needing further monitoring, low threat to the US
YELLOW - This is the moderate concern level. Definitely becoming a threat but in the longer term.
ORANGE - A definite threat in both short term and long term. Some active events occurring
RED - Active and ongoing. Examples of this would be 2020 rioting, etc.
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Globalism / Great Reset - YELLOW trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - WEF having a virtual Davos conference this week. Big emphasis on taxing the global “rich” to help pay for wuhan assistance to poor nations.
Dozens of Canadian truck drivers have blocked the highway near the US–Manitoba international border to protest against Covid-19 vaccine mandates. Videos shared on social media showed truck drivers carrying Canadian flags and holding a demonstration on the Manitoba Highway 75, which connects the Emerson community in Manitoba with the US city of Pembina in North Dakota.
OBSERVATION - US ban of unjabbed US truckers into Canada is suppose to begin on the 22d. This border blockage will not help our supply chain issues.
On Wednesday (Jan.19th) the Czech government, via a Prime Minister Petr Fala press conference, announced plans to end COVID vaccine mandates. Ireland and France look set to follow England in easing restrictions.
The German government is seriously “concerned” over the sheer number of protests against COVID restrictions in recent weeks, which are the most widespread in the country’s history.
Influential German broadsheet Die Welt reveals that on the same day, protests took place in over 1,000 locations across the country.
“The government is concerned about the decentralized actions,” reports the newspaper, with one source labeling the “immensity” of the demonstrations “depressing.”
“Never before in the history of the Federal Republic have there been demonstrations that are more widespread than in the last few weeks,” states the report, with the government counting 1,046 separate protests involving around 188,000 participants.A new
California bill would allow children ages 12 and older to receive vaccines without the consent of their parents.
Currently, state law allows for minors to consent to medical care and treatment without the consent of a parent or guardian under certain circumstances. Those include “infectious, contagious, or communicable” diseases as determined by the State Public Health Officer.
Senate Bill 866, authored by State Sens. Scott Wiener and Richard Pan, would authorize vaccine providers to administer doses to children ages 12 and older without consent of parents and guardians if passed.
OBSERVATION - Another step in denying parental supervision of their children.
Starting this summer, creating an account on the IRS website will require a photo of your government identification as well as a video for facial recognition purposes to be submitted to a third-party company.
OBSERVATION - Biometrics increasingly becoming mandatory via back door means like this.
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Wuhan virus - YELLOW *last updated 12-10-21*
DISCUSSION - OMICRON fear porn continues to dominate the MSM.
A newly released study from Brazil of over 150 thousand subjects found that regular prophylactic use of ivermectin “was associated with significantly reduced COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and mortality rates.”
The largest ivermectin study to date was conducted in Itajaí, Brazil, between July 2020 and December 2020. It recently passed rigorous peer-review and was published this week, Dr. Pierre Kory noted on Twitter.
Background: Ivermectin has demonstrated different mechanisms of action that potentially protect from both coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection and COVID-19-related comorbidities. Based on the studies suggesting efficacy in prophylaxis combined with the known safety profile of ivermectin, a citywide prevention program using ivermectin for COVID-19 was implemented in Itajaí, a southern city in Brazil in the state of Santa Catarina. The objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of regular ivermectin use on subsequent COVID-19 infection and mortality rates.
https://www.cureus.com/articles/82162-ivermectin-prophylaxis-used-for-covid-19-a-citywide-prospective-observational-study-of-223128-subjects-using-propensity-score-matching
The CDC has quietly published a study that finds natural immunity to be several times as effective as vaccination in preventing future covid infections and hospitalizations:
“Rates among vaccinated persons without a previous COVID-19 diagnosis were consistently higher than rates among unvaccinated persons with a history of COVID-19 (3.1-fold higher [95% CI = 2.6–3.7] in California and 1.9-fold higher [95% CI = 1.5–2.3] in New York) and rates among vaccinated persons with a history of COVID-19 (3.6-fold higher [95% CI = 2.9–4.3] in California and 2.8-fold higher [95% CI = 2.1–3.4] in New York).
During October 3–16, compared with hospitalization rates among unvaccinated persons without a previous COVID-19 diagnosis, hospitalization rates were 19.8-fold lower (95% CI = 18.2–21.4) among vaccinated persons without a previous COVID-19 diagnosis, 55.3-fold lower (95% CI = 27.3–83.3) among unvaccinated persons with a previous COVID-19 diagnosis, and 57.5-fold lower (95% CI = 29.2–85.8) among vaccinated persons with a previous COVID-19 diagnosis.”
Medical official are noting that coronavirus cases are falling in parts of the United States hardest hit by the fast-spreading omicron variant, according to a Reuters analysis of public health data, offering an early indication the virus might once again be on retreat.
COVID-19 infections have decreased in 15 states plus Washington, D.C. and Puerto Rico, an analysis of the past week through Wednesday compared with the prior week showed.
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Economy - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Maintaining color code pending first Fed rate increase. Increasing threat of deep recession / depression as the Fed tries to control inflation.
Market, bond and metals markets have been in flux as investors look to position themselves for expected Fed interest rate increases as well as potential war in Ukraine. NASDAQ is verging on corrections territory.
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Invasion of Illegals - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Illegals continue to push across the border with record numbers of intercepts
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Biden watch - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Mental facilities continue to degrade
WH and media lackeys have been working overtime walking biden gaffs back from his press conference. Example -
- Biden Questions Legitimacy of Midterm Election If Voting Rights Legislation Not Passed
- Psaki: Biden Was Not Intending to Cast Doubt on the Legitimacy of the Election
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CW2/Domestic violence - YELLOW trending neutral to down *updated 01/21/22*
DISCUSSION - Generally quiet activity on the BLM/Antifa front. Rampant crime continues with revelations of massive theft from UP Trains in LA, causing UP to examaine rerouting around LA.
The annual March For Life in DC may bring out Antifa counterprotestors.
A federal civil rights trial for three US ex-police officers indicted in the murder of George Floyd has begun in Minneapolis. The three men will also face their own state charges - for aiding and abetting Chauvin - in a separate trial later this year.
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CYBER/CANCEL CULTURE FRONT -
GETTR CEO Jason Miller said that they and anyone who his platform arbitrarily deems guilty of wrongthink will be removed from the platform and deprived of their freedom of speech. Speaking in regards to banning of Nick Fuentes and his so-called army of “Groypers” Miller said -
“Our viewpoint is your Free Speech rights really extend up to the point to where they start to infringe on someone else’s rights, whether that be their safety, whether that be keeping them protected from racial or religious epithets, making sure that no one is out there suggesting or trying to get people to act on illegal behavior,” Miller said.
Miller claimed that because he and his team of controllers believe Fuentes and his Groyper army have extremist beliefs that they will be denied their ability to speak freely on the GETTR platform.
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POLITICAL FRONT - YELLOW *updated 12-10-21*
DISCUSSION -
Gallup Poll: Congressional Approval Rating Plunges to 18%
Pelosi/Schumer trying to pick up the pieces following the disastrous fillibuster vote fail. May force ‘smaller’ bills more specifically tailored that can pass both houses.
OBSERVATION - Expect increasingly desperation political maneuvering to get ‘red meat’ bills passed before congress essentially shuts down for mid-term campaigning.
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Domestic Terror - BLUE
FBI continues to get hammered for its recent failures and actions surrounding the hostage taking at a Jewish synagogue.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments - ORANGE (UPDATED 01/21/2022) *status raised*
Watching closely the sudden deployment of USN Amphibious units and supporting ships from Norfolk and San Diego this past week. Those units have been removed from the USNI public affairs website deployment map. Also monitoring closely any evidence of USAF and US Army activations and deployments.
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China - ORANGE trending neutral to upward
A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers is urging the International Olympic Committee to “immediately clarify its policies on athletes’ freedom to speak” during the upcoming Beijing Winter Games, after organizers warned that participants who express themselves in ways that violate Chinese laws will be “subject to certain punishment.”
OBSERVATION - I don’t recall any other olympics where the host country threatened jail and legal proceedings against athletes if they speak out against their policies.
China/Russia/Iran joint naval exercise to start in the Indian ocean.
The United States is looking for ways to potentially accelerate delivery of Taiwan’s next generation of new-build F-16 fighter jets, U.S. officials said, bolstering the Taiwanese air force’s ability to respond to what Washington and Taipei see as increasing intimidation by China’s military.
The officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said they have not yet come up with a solution on how to speed delivery of Block 70 F-16s, manufactured by Lockheed Martin and equipped with new capabilities. The aircraft are currently slated to be delivered by the end of 2026.
China’s economy continues to suffer from self imposed wuhan shutdowns.
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North Korea - YELLOW (UPDATED 01/21/22)
UNSC members have failed to agree on imposing UN sanctions on N.Koreans responsible for weapons development, while the US denounced opponents for giving Pyongyang a “blank check.” “We have to hold them accountable for their aggression,” China blocked US push for UN sanctions on five N.Korea.
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Russia - ORANGE and increasing *last updated 121021*
DISCUSSION -*** INCREASED WARNING *** ONGOING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Current indicators are that Russia is more inclined to launch a full scale attack against the Ukraine with the purpose of overthrowing the government.
Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.
WEATHER - Below freezing temperatures will maintain soil conditions conducive to armor operations and maneuvering for the next two weeks.
Current intelligence indicators of impending attack.
- Military units from the Far East Military District are closing in on assembly areas predominantly in Belarus.
- Russia continues to build a narrative to justify an invasion
Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, speaking in Geneva, says US Secretary of State Antony Blinken told him that that the U.S. will provide written responses to all of Russia’s security demands/proposals next week. Lavrov says the talks with were “useful” and “constructive”
Blinken says he asked Lavrov to describe how Russian side believes its actions have advanced Russia’s interests. Blinken on a possible Biden-Putin summit: “If it proves useful and productive for the two presidents to meet to talk, to engage to try to carry things forward, I think we’re fully prepared to do that”. Blinken says Lavrov repeated denial of plans to invade Ukraine. “But it is deeds and actions” that US will judge, he says, asks Russia to redeploy forces from near Ukraine’s border (which Lavrov just a little while ago said was none of America’s business since inside Russia)
Russia wants Nato to remove all of its forces from Bulgaria, Romania and other ex-communist states in eastern Europe that joined the alliance after 1997, the foreign ministry said on Friday, underlining Moscow’s hardline position ahead of security talks with the US in Geneva.
Sergei Lavrov, Russia’s foreign minister, said in a written Q&A on the ministry’s website that Russia’s demands included “withdrawing foreign forces, equipment, and armaments and making other steps to return to the condition as of 1997”, when Nato began admitting former Warsaw Pact countries.
“That includes Bulgaria and Romania,” Lavrov said, adding that Russia’s demand was “core” and “deliberately worded as clearly as possible so as not to allow any dual interpretations”.
China/Russia/Iran joint naval exercise to start in the Indian ocean.
Russia announced Thursday it will hold huge naval drills involving more than 140 warships and supporting vessels this month and in February, at a time of heightened tensions with Western nations.
The war games to be held in the Atlantic, Pacific, Arctic, and Mediterranean will involve “more than 140 warships and support vessels, more than 60 aircraft, 1,000 pieces of military equipment, and about 10,000 servicemen,” the defense ministry said in a statement carried by Russian news agencies.
Six large amphibious assault ships still tracking from the Baltic Sea into the Med for a reported naval exercise there.
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Ukraine - ORANGE trending upward *updated 121021*
Increased potential of an attack by Russia.
British transport aircraft are now in their third day of delivering “thousands” of anti-tank weapons to Ukraine in the face of a massive build-up of Russian troops. 30 British Army Rangers arrived in Ukraine to train Ukraine army on these anti tank weapons.
Training of civilian resistance to any Russian invasion continues at an expanded pace.
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Belarus - YELLOW *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION -
Russia is sending two battalions of S-400 surface-to-air missile systems to Belarus to join military drills there next month, the Interfax news agency said on Friday,
33 trains with military equipment and Russian servicemen have arrived in Belarus over the past week. Such data is provided by the telegram channel “Community of Railway workers.” The total number of trains with Russian military equipment that will arrive in Belarus is 200 trains.
Russian Iskander missile systems are spotted in Asipovichy. The first reports that they were brought there for the drills were received last night. The Asipovichy training ground was officially announced as the place for the drills
The US has charged four Belarusian officials with aircraft piracy over the diversion of a passenger plane to Minsk last May.
Prosecutors allege the officials used a false bomb threat to divert a Ryanair flight to the Belarus capital, where opposition journalist Roman Protasevich and his partner were detained.
FBI officials said the incident was a “reckless violation”. Earlier this week a UN report concluded the bomb threat was deliberately false. Mr Protasevich, a 26-year old journalist with the Nexta opposition media, and his partner Sofia Sapega were detained once the flight had landed in Minsk. Mr Protasevich was released from prison in June and has spent the past seven months under house arrest.
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Europe General - YELLOW TRENDING UPWARD *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION - Increasing potential that NATO will become involved in an Ukraine invasion as Poland, Romania and the Baltic Nations respond.
Romania foreign ministry says Russian demand for NATO troop removal ‘unacceptable’
Spain has sent warships to join NATO naval forces in the Mediterranean and the Black Sea as tension in the region rises over the Russian military build-up on the Ukrainian border, Defense Minister Margarita Robles said on Thursday.
A mine-sweeper is already en route and a frigate will sail within three or four days, Robles told reporters. The Madrid government is also considering sending fighter jets to Bulgaria, she said.
“Russia cannot tell any country what to do, so NATO will protect and defend the sovereignty of any country that can or wants to join NATO,” she said.
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Israel - ORANGE trending neutral to upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Ongoing threat from Hezbollah and Iran continues.
The Biden White House has withdrawn U.S. support from a pipeline project designed to deliver Israeli natural gas to Europe, reversing a decision taken by President Donald Trump’s administration.
The 1,180-mile undersea pipeline project from Israel to southern Europe, set to be completed by 2025, will ease Europe’s dependence on Russia and Turkey. These two countries have a stranglehold on the continent’s energy supply.
“The United States is no longer supporting the construction of EastMed gas pipeline project as Washington’s interest is now switching to renewable energy sources, according to a State Department statement,” the Euractiv, a Brussels based news website, reported recently.
By rescinding the U.S. backing for the Israel-Europe pipeline, the Biden administration is bowing down to the pressure from Turkey’s Erdogan regime, which has been angered for being left out of the lucrative energy project. “Several Greek media reported that Joe Biden’s move politically winks at Turkey, who since the beginning has opposed the EastMed deal as it was bypassing it,” the European news outlet noted.
OBSERVATION - biden is very disjointed on this, approving a Russian gas pipeline while rejecting an alternative. I suspect Israel will continue forward with the project because it is in their best interest, realizing that the democrats in power in DC are anti-Israel.
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Iran - ORANGE *unchanged*
China, Russia and Iran will hold joint naval drills on Friday, a public relations official from Iran’s armed forces told semi-official ISNA news agency on Thursday.
The “2022 Marine Security Belt” exercise will take place in the north of the Indian Ocean and is the third joint naval drill between the three countries, Mostafa Tajoldin added.
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Saudi Arabia - YELLOW (Updated 01/21/22)
Increased counter attacks against the Iranian backed Houthis rebels after they launched ballistic rockets and drones against the UAE.
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Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan - YELLOW
The Taliban have announced an official suicide bomber “brigade” to their semi-official military structure.
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To add to your list:
Taliban Delegation Coming to Europe for Talks with U.S., UK, EU Next Week