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To: null and void; aragorn; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; BusterDog; bgill; bitt; ...

Friday update on Saturday. Life happened, trying to catch up.
Things are reaching a very crazy level all across the board.

Color Key
BLACK - An area worth noting, but not immediately impacting on US safety
BLUE - Incidents increasing and needing further monitoring, low threat to the US
YELLOW - This is the moderate concern level. Definitely becoming a threat but in the longer term.
ORANGE - A definite threat in both short term and long term. Some active events occurring
RED - Active and ongoing. Examples of this would be 2020 rioting, etc.

_____________________________

Globalism / Great Reset - YELLOW trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Global powers that be (GPTB) backing off from hyping Omicron given its underwhelming threat. Countries and the US are moving forward for harsher treatment of the Unvaxxed anyway.

Examples of this harsher treatment -
- The Make-A-Wish Foundation refused to grant 4-year-old cancer patient Rocco DiMaggio a wish to go to Disneyworld because he is not vaccinated.
- Ronald McDonald house kicks out a cancer victim and family due to not being jabbed.
- Organ transplant recipients being denied transplants until jabbed
- Others being denied treatment because unjabbed.
- Laws coming out to charge an insurance surcharge on those without the jab.
OBSERVATION - These are methods to subjugate the population and so far these elements are getting away with it. Expect the GGR powers that be to further persecution of the unjabbed as this year progresses.

Biden administration has tasked an obscure agency - Pretrial Services Agency for the District of Columbia, an independent federal agency designed to aid Washington D.C. courts, to create the “Employee Religious Exception Request Information System” to track unvaccinated employees who ask for religious exemptions from President Joe Biden’s federal COVID-19 shot mandate. “The primary purpose of the secured electronic file repository is to collect, maintain, use, and—to the extent appropriate and necessary—disseminate employee religious exception request information collected by the Agency in the context of the federally mandated COVID-19 vaccination requirement,” according to the Federal Register.
OBSERVATION - I was initially skeptical about this until I drilled down deeper. This agency is legit and they are a catch-all for all kinds of miscellaneous stuff. Of course, there is no real reason for a database of this kind - except for later retribution purposes. Some consider it as a test bed for deploying the database across the entire US government - noting that the announcement was relegated to an obscure group and given just 30 days for public comment.

US Marines have granted the first two religious exemptions to wuhan out of the thousands of applications.

USSC overturns biden’s OSHA vaccine mandates (old news). Biden continues to demand private companies comply anyway - meeting mixed results.
________________________________

Wuhan virus - YELLOW *last updated 12-10-21*
DISCUSSION - OMICRON is a big nothing burger. Globally there have been few fatalities attributed to it

OBSERVATIONS - The past couple days the news has been awash in amorphic wuhan news. Pushing high infections and hospitalization rates, down playing that there is a disjunction between CAUSED by wuhan and WITH wuhan (ie hospitalized for something else and diagnosed with wuhan as well.
OVERALL - Wuhan reporting has been a dumpster fire.

Biden administration continues to issue mixed messages and guidances. Most recent on changes by the CDC to quarenteen duration requirements.

CDC now recommends N95 masks to fight Omicron.

Some European medical groups are beginning to question the number of boosters being recommended. They are recognizing that the jabs are not working as promised and injections of more of the same are becoming harmful.

VAERS data base has over 1.2 million serious reactions listed to the jabs, including over 16K associated deaths.

CDC director, Rochelle Walensky, said that the “vaccines” “do not prevent transmission.” Revelation occurred on CNN’s Wolf Blitzer, where she said, “What [vaccines] can’t do anymore is prevent transmission.”
Walensky also said on Fox News Sunday. “In some hospitals that we’ve talked to, up to 40% of the patients who are coming in with COVID-19 are coming in not because they’re sick with COVID, but because they’re coming in with something else and have had to, COVID or the Omicron variant detected.”
OBSERVATION - The “narrative” is so contorted, they are losing the ability to keep their story straight .

Scottish Health data indicates that vaccinated population have accounted for 8 in every 10 cases, 7 in every 10 hospitalizations, and 8 in every 10 Covid-19 deaths since the 20th November 2021 despite the booster jab campaign.
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Economy - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Maintaining color code pending first Fed rate increase. Increasing threat of deep recession / depression as the Fed tries to control inflation.

Prices at the wholesale level surged by a record 9.7% in December from a year earlier, with inflation evident at all levels of the U.S. economy.
OBSERVATION - These increases will show themselves in future months as increased product price inflation.

The number of actual Americans filing for jobless benefits for the first time spiked to 419k in the first week of 2022. That is the highest since May 2021.

Retail sales dropped 1.9% last month after rising 0.2% in November, the Commerce Department said on Friday. This covers the Christmas shopping season. Commerce Dept tried to blame it on supply chain shortages due to wuhan. Sales could weaken further in January 2022 due to continuing issues from wuhan.
Speaking of supply chain issues - China’s recent rounds of lockdowns have shut down shipping from key ports. So not only are material not going out timely, but Chinese imports are now diverting to Shanghai, causing the types of knock-on delays seen at US West Coast ports.

______________________________
Invasion of Illegals - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Illegals continue to push across the border with record numbers of intercepts

Federal Judge ruled against Texan law arresting illegals for ‘trespass’ in an effort to stop their enforcement of laws and protection of its citizens.
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Biden watch - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Mental facilities continue to degrade

The more biden is trotted out in front of cameras, the more his mental decline is reflected in his often confusing and contradictory comments become.

Approval polls show a continued nosedive in popularity. Thirty-three percent approve of Biden’s presidency, down 3 points from the last poll conducted in November, while 53% do not approve, a Quinnipiac University poll found. Another 13% did not say either way.
___________________________

CW2/Domestic violence - YELLOW trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Jan 6 propaganda continues to come from the democrats. DOJ creates new domestic terror unit targeting Americans. BLM/Antifa quiet.

Seditious conspiracy charges have been leveled against a number of individuals associated with Oath Keepers, including the group’s leader for actions surrounding Jan 6 riot. Alledgedly FBI got their hands on an encrypted Signal chat between members.
Sedition charges are difficult to prove. The last seditious conspiracy case was filed in 2010 against members of a Michigan militia. But a judge ordered acquittals on the sedition conspiracy charges, saying prosecutors didn’t prove the Hutaree militia members ever had detailed plans for a rebellion.
OBSERVATION - I’ve not reported much on the Jan 6 motions other than they are a manifestation of the leftists in govt trying to take advantage of those events to make rightist groups illegal or illegitimate. My biggest concern is the access to Signal comms. IIRC a mole that was in the chat group was the source of the texts. If the feds were able to ‘crack’ the encryption then the most secure text system is compromised.

Poorly categorized here, a construction team appears to have begun building a wall on the White House’s north lawn between the structure and a pre-existing iron fence.
OBSERVATION - Very little has been released on the purpose of the fence but I suspect that its placement was due to riots that penetrated the fence and has the SS force Trump into the bunker.
_________________________________

POLITICAL FRONT - YELLOW *updated 12-10-21*
DISCUSSION - Democrat infighting increasing. Moderate democrats now appear to have torpedoed biden’s BBB and election “reform” HR1.

Schumer’s high pressure tactics to try to remove the filibuster is hitting the rocks.
OBSERVATION - Expect increasing pressure on Senators Sinema and Manchin. Also expect Schumer/Pelosi to try other means to weasel around the filibuster.
_____________________________________

Strategic Activity / Deployments - YELLOW (UPDATED 01/14/2022)

USS Kearsarge (LHD 3) Wasp-class amphibious assault ship and USS Arlington (LPD 24) San Antonio-class amphibious transport dock were observed leaving Norfolk, Virginia - January 14
OBSERVATION - The Kearsarge Amphib Assault group are absent from the current Naval deployment update/status. Not listed in port or out to sea. USN hasn’t announced any deployments - yet. I suspect it is enroute to Europe, possibly to join the Truman CSG.

RUMORS - USS New Mexico, carrying Tomahawk cruise missiles that has been reported in the sea off northern Norway and is believed to be on its way to Russia’s territorial waters.
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Cyber Warfare - YELLOW

Given the Ukraine cyber attack, a similar attack against the US by Russian agents as a precursor to any invasion would be expected.
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China - ORANGE trending neutral to upward

Economic woes continue with lower than projected GDP reflecting self inflicted wuhan lockdowns and global supply/transportation issues.
____________________________________

North Korea - BLUE

North Korea fired about 5 missiles into the Sea of Japan over the past few days. This is an interesting departure from Kim’s earlier statement of focusing on internal economic and food issues. NKs Friday missile test was of its train-mounted ballistic missiles. It was conducted by the Railway-borne Missile Regiment of North Phyongan Province. NK warns of more if US continues to sanction the country.
US response to North Korea’s latest launch of ballistic missiles Friday called launches “destabilizing” although “this event does not pose an immediate threat to U.S. personnel or territory, or to our allies”
___________________________________

Russia - ORANGE and increasing *last updated 121021*
DISCUSSION - INCREASED WARNING ONGOING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment.

WEATHER - Next two weeks temperatures are with highs in the low 30’s and low in the 20’s, conditions that keep the ground frozen for armored vehicle movement. Snow is forecast over many days of the period and cloud cover approaching 100% on many days.

Current intelligence indicators of impending attack include:

- Increased reports of Russia trying to produce a narrative and even generated false flag events to justify invasion.
- Large cyber attack on Ukraine hit around 70 internet sites of government bodies including the foreign ministry, cabinet of ministers, and security and defense council.
- Military units I reported in my last assessment coming from the Eastern Military District have been noted by observers passing through the Western Military district along routes leading to the Ukraine border region. Three CAAs are currently staged and these reinforcements are coming from elements of four other CAAs (5th, 29th, 35th, and 36th ). Additionally, Pacific Fleet’s 155th Naval Infantry Brigade elements have been reported on trains heading west as well.
- Mysterious underwater cable severing to a key comms site.
- RUMINT from “Pravda” that a Russian boomer surfaced off the east coast of the US undetected.
- Separatist militaries in Luhansk and Donetsk are conducting their own corps-level military mobilization exercises and recalling reservists.
- Intelligence agencies monitoring Russian cyber operations against Ukraine believe Russia’s pattern of activity could signal a ground invasion of Ukraine within the next 30 days, the White House said Friday. “The Russian military plans to begin these activities several weeks before a military invasion, which could begin between mid-January and mid-February,”
- Movements of numerous helicopter and fixed wing assets closer to the border.

Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov says Moscow has “run out of patience” with the West and expects a written response to its demands for security guarantees within a week after diplomatic talks with NATO and the United States failed to make headway on the issue amid a buildup of Russian troops on the border with Ukraine.

Further, Russia is threatening military deployment to Cuba and Venezuela. Other communist states like Nicaragua could be a target of other deployments.
OBSERVATION - Unless airlifted, any sea lift operations I’d expect would occur before Ukraine conflict, or at a later time to pressure the US from another direction.
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Ukraine - ORANGE trending upward *updated 121021*
Increased potential of an attack by Russia.

Major cyber attack over the past few days. Large cyber attack on Ukraine hit around 70 internet sites of government bodies including the foreign ministry, cabinet of ministers, and security and defense council.

Biden has openly indicated material support for a Ukraine resistance force if Russia overruns the country.
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Belarus - YELLOW *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION - Migrant ‘crisis’ has significantly decreased. Monitoring / evaluating if it will participate with Russia in an Ukraine invasion.
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Poland - YELLOW trending upward *updated 121021*

Poland’s foreign minister said on Thursday that Europe was at risk of plunging into war as Russia said it was not yet giving up on diplomacy but that military experts were preparing options in case tensions over Ukraine could not be defused.
________________________________________

Europe General - YELLOW TRENDING UPWARD *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION - Increasing potential that NATO will become involved in an Ukraine invasion as Poland, Romania and the Baltic Nations respond.

Sweden (a non-NATO country) is reinforcing its position on Gotland Island with new troops ferried over tonight. C17 and US C5 MAC aircraft have also been observed landing at the island’s airfield. Gotland Island is a strategic location in the Baltic Sea that can control Russian naval movements thru the sea to the Atlantic. Official reasons are that Sweden has raised the readiness of military forces on Gotland due to rising tensions between Russia & NATO and the continued buildup of Russian forces on Ukraines border.
OBSERVATION - There is RUMINT out there that this is in response to three combat loaded Russian amphibious assault ships headed towards the island. There were also reports of Russian military vehicles moving about Kalingrade - possibly a contributing source of related concern. Gotland is usually not heavily defended - at least post cold war. Something triggered an alert and needs to be monitored.

Lithuania has increased their military readiness due to tensions with Russia according to officials

European gas storage has now dropped **below the 50% level**, the earliest the half-empty mark has ever been reached, beating the previous record by 7 days (and usually, it doesn’t happen until early-to-mid Feb)
The U.S. government held talks with several international energy companies on contingency plans for supplying natural gas to Europe if conflict between Russia and Ukraine disrupts Russian supplies
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Israel - ORANGE trending neutral to upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Ongoing threat from Hezbollah and Iran continues.

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Iraq - YELLOW *updated 01/14/22*

Iranian backed militias have continued rocketing US bases and the Green Zone. At the same time, hit and run attacks have been made on opposing Iraqi militias. So far, no significant US military response.
OBSERVATION - Iran sees an opening as biden’s policies continue to crumble and displays military weaknesses. However, attacks against Iraqi elements increases the risk of civil conflict between the two factions.
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Saudi Arabia - BLUE

Saudi’s reportedly developing long range ballistic missiles with China’s help to counter Iranian threats in the region.
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30 posted on 01/15/2022 7:53:56 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: Godzilla

Single best thread on the forum.


31 posted on 01/15/2022 8:18:55 AM PST by ealgeone
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To: Godzilla; Whenifhow; null and void; aragorn; EnigmaticAnomaly; kalee; Kale; azishot; AZ .44 MAG; ...

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32 posted on 01/15/2022 10:35:17 AM PST by bitt ( <img src=' 'width=50%>)
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To: null and void; aragorn; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; BusterDog; bgill; bitt; ...

________________________________

Globalism / Great Reset -

One of the largest hospital systems in the country - SSM Health, a nominally Catholic health system that operates 23 hospitals across Illinois, Missouri, Oklahoma, and Wisconsin - is dropping its policy that counted race as a more important factor in determining COVID-19 treatment options than diabetes, obesity, asthma, and hypertension combined. All hospital patients are “scored” as a means of triage in order to give those most in need priority treatment. SSM Health ignored the severity of a patient’s conditions in order to make race a weightier determining factor.
OBSERVATION - Injection of race into health care - dividing the people into an Us vs them scenario to weaken both. Stock up on what you can find NOW. Any serious crisis will cause ALL the shelves to be emptied in hours.

According to a Heartland Institute and Rasmussen Reports poll released Thursday (Townhall) -
– Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters would oppose a proposal for federal or state governments to fine Americans who choose not to get a COVID-19 vaccine. However, 55% of Democratic voters would support such a proposal, compared to just 19% of Republicans and 25% of unaffiliated voters.
– Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Democratic voters would favor a government policy requiring that citizens remain confined to their homes at all times, except for emergencies, if they refuse to get a COVID-19 vaccine. Such a proposal is opposed by 61% of all likely voters, including 79% of Republicans and 71% of unaffiliated voters.
– Nearly half (48%) of Democratic voters think federal and state governments should be able to fine or imprison individuals who publicly question the efficacy of the existing COVID-19 vaccines on social media, television, radio, or in online or digital publications. Only 27% of all voters – including just 14% of Republicans and 18% of unaffiliated voters – favor criminal punishment of vaccine critics.
– Forty-five percent (45%) of Democrats would favor governments requiring citizens to temporarily live in designated facilities or locations if they refuse to get a COVID-19 vaccine. Such a policy would be opposed by a strong majority (71%) of all voters, with 78% of Republicans and 64% of unaffiliated voters saying they would Strongly Oppose putting the unvaccinated in “designated facilities.”
– While about two-thirds (66%) of likely voters would be against governments using digital devices to track unvaccinated people to ensure that they are quarantined or socially distancing from others, 47% of Democrats favor a government tracking program for those who won’t get the COVID-19 vaccine.
How far are Democrats willing to go in punishing the unvaccinated? Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Democratic voters would support temporarily removing parents’ custody of their children if parents refuse to take the COVID-19 vaccine. That’s much more than twice the level of support in the rest of the electorate – seven percent (7%) of Republicans and 11% of unaffiliated voters – for such a policy.
_____________________________

Economy -

The dollar, which has dropped for three straight sessions, has been giving up gains seen after the Federal Reserve has signaled strong interest rate hikes in the coming months. The dollar has dropped to the lowest level against the Euro since November. The dollar looks to be faltering in what could be an early sign that investors are losing faith in the U.S. economy, and that in and of itself could make our inflation situation worse. The most direct correlation in that would be the price of commodities. On the global market, almost all major commodities from energy, agriculture and metals are priced in dollars. If the dollar falters then it would take more dollars to buy the same amount of goods. That means that this blockbuster increase in consumer prices might look small in the future.

National ‘empty shelves’ crisis has worsened with the shortages of workers being made worse by wuhan illnesses.
______________________________

Biden watch -

The Biden administration is facing rising pressure from congressional Democrats to ramp up its efforts to fight the COVID-19 pandemic.
OBSERVATION - At best, biden is operating in a response mode - not in a proactive mode. At worst, he is purposefully dragging his feet in an effort to maintain a state of fear that has so far provided cover for his tyrannical mandates. Remember, it has long ceased to be about the virus - but is all about power. Democrat Congresscritters are increasingly recognizing that their seats are on the line and the apparent biden buffoonery is pulling them down.
___________________________

CW2/Domestic violence -

On his first day, Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares has eliminated the Office of Civil Rights. Miyares also announced he will prosecute criminal cases in jurisdictions where Soros DAs decline to prosecute, and he has already opened investigations into Loudon County Public Schools.
Miyares tweeted “As a candidate, I promised to investigate the scandals at the Virginia Parole Board and Loudoun County Schools.
As Attorney General, I am proud to say that the process has begun and the investigations are officially open.”
OBSERVATION - He will face an uphill fight, but firing the entire division he has seriously drained his swamp. Soro affiliated/supported DAs across the nation have driven the current crime crisis through non persecution and revolving door policies. It will be interesting to see the impact on crime that prosecuting criminals will have in Virginia This may wake up other blue areas.
_________________________________

Domestic Terror -

A male islamicist took several members of the Colleyville, TX Beth Israel synagogue hostage yesterday . The situation was ended Saturday evening when SWAT team stormed the building, freeding the hostages and killed the terrorist. The terrorist claimed to be the brother of Aafia Siddiqui, a terrorist convicted of trying to kill U.S. military personnel. Siddiqui AKA- Lady Al Qaeda - is a Pakistani neuroscientist who is currently serving an 86-year prison term in the US convicted of trying to kill US military officers while in custody in Afghanistan.
The identity of the terrorist has not been released. Some reports out there suggesting he was a British citizen.

So who is Aafia Siddiqui?
Siddiqui was born in Pakistan and came to the United States on a student visa in 1990 for higher education. She lived in the United States between 1991 and 2002. She studied at MIT and has a Ph.D. in neuroscience from Brandeis University.
She returned to Pakistan and married a relative of the 9/11 mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammed. Siddiqui was arrested in Afghanistan in 2008 in possession of documents about the manufacture of “dirty bombs” and notes about planned attacks against New York City landmarks such as the Empire State Building. Her marriage links probably are the main source of terrorist attempts to get her released over the years.
_____________________________________

Strategic Activity / Deployments -

The Carl Vinson Carrier Strike Group and Essex Amphibious Ready Group with the embarked 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit are now drilling in the South China Sea.

Still monitoring for more info on the apparent deployment of the USS Kearsarge Amphibious Assault group yesterday.
_________________________________

Russia -

INCREASED WARNING ONGOING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat and can execute several options at any moment.

Twitter feed are full of videos reportedly showing numerous trains carrying armored vehicles and other military equipment from the Far East military district to currently unknown destinations to the west. Other videos show soldiers assembling at train stations to be deployed to the west as well. General intelligence assessments are that these forces are being staged as a second wave support if needed, capable of entering a potential Ukrainan theater within a week. Most likely in case of a NATO counter offensive.
OBSERVATION - Completion of troop movements from the Far East Military District may well be one of the key indicators of impending attack. Must watch closely to see when the movements end and where these forces are staging. Once they are in place, I’d expect kickoff of a ground offensive. The addition of these forces also indicate Russia is planning for a much more extensive operation and /or stronger NATO military response. My reasoning being for the delay in any attack is that rail resources are already stretched moving those elements from the Far East Mil district and to try to continue the move while also trying to resupply/sustain a ground offensive would foul up both operations. A linear plan makes sense - reposition follow-on forces, freeing up logistic lines of supply.
____________________________________

Ukraine -

Kyiv believes hackers linked to Belarusian intelligence carried out a cyberattack that hit Ukrainian government websites and used malware similar to that used by a group tied to Russian intelligence. The strike was cover for more destructive actions behind the scenes.
____________________________________

Europe General -

Sweden - All three Russian Baltic Fleet Ropucha-class heavy landing ships departed Baltiysk yesterday afternoon and evening. They are likely joining the three Northern Fleet LSTs that caused Sweden to order troops to Gotland Island.
The Swedish Air Force’s S100B Argus early warning and control aircraft patrolled the Gotland coast earlier in the evening, where Russian warships were spotted.
OBSERVATION - Because of the current light defensive position of Gotland, a trimmed down amphibious assault by 6 Russian vessels doesn’t need the large numbers of combat support ships. At this stage, it is unlikely that Russia will attempt to take over the Island but is more of a show of force to jerk the chain of NATO and other Baltic Sea related countries. Capture of Gotland Island would permit expanded freedom of movement of Russian naval assets in the Baltic - threatening the Baltic states from the sea as well as from ground forces to the east.
____________________________________

Iraq -

The predominantly Shiite Muslim militias — several of which are backed directly by the Iranian military — have grown increasingly unpredictable and erratic during recent months, while their political backers in Baghdad struggled to maintain power and influence within the Iraqi government. The first two weeks of 2022 saw the militias launch at least four attacks on U.S. military or diplomatic installations, including a rocket attack Thursday that targeted the U.S. embassy in Baghdad. The risk to U.S. forces is likely to grow even worse in 2022, according to some analysts, who warn the Shiite militias in Iraq are increasingly prone to operating on their own volition regardless of what their Iranian backers may or may not want them to do. An even worse scenario could materialize if U.S.-Iran negotiations, aimed at securing a new deal to limit Tehran‘s nuclear program, fall apart. In that instance, Tehran could abandon all restraint and give a full green light to its proxies, potentially setting off a wave of drone attacks, suicide bombings, and other strikes aimed squarely at Americans.
OBSERVATION - A weak Iraqi govt and a senile biden continue to embolden Iranian supported militias - things will continue to deteriorate. These Iraninan supported militias are opposed by Sadr’s militias even though they share the same sect of Islam. Sadr has soured on Iran of late, preferring Iraqi leadership, not that from Tehran.
_________________________________

Lebanon -

Lebanese groups Hezbollah and Amal on Saturday said they would end a boycott of cabinet meetings. The decision paves the way for the crisis-hit country’s government to meet for the first time since October. The groups refused to attend cabinet meetings after a dispute over the handling of an investigation into the Beirut port blast in 2020.
Prime Minister Najib Mikati welcomed the decision to end the boycott and would call for a cabinet meeting when he received a draft 2022 budget from the Finance Ministry. A government-approved recovery plan was a prerequisite for resuming talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
__________________________________

Syria -

Conflict in Syria is at a low point. Uncertain at this time if the extensive Russian bombing in support of Assad forces has been curtailed due to impending operations in Ukraine.
__________________________________


40 posted on 01/16/2022 7:12:50 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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