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To: null and void; aragorn; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; BusterDog; bgill; bitt; ...

Russian/Ukraine update

My larger post coming later

Observers have noted over 10 Russian ships have now passed under the Crimean Bridge (Kerch Strait Bridge) and entered the Sea of Azov. The ships include: Project 775, the Saratov Project 1171 large landing ships, and Pavel Derzhavin Project 22160 patrol ship

Sea of Azov is east of crimea aligned with the breakaway region of eastern Ukrain. An amphibious assault on the eastern margin of crimea would indicate the goal of establishing a land bridge from there to the separatists controlled areas. More important is watching if amphibious task force comes up opposite of Odessa to the west of crimea.

MSN passing on reports that Putin has issued the attack order and units undergoing final preparations. If this is the case we could be less than 12 hours away from the initiation of hostilities.


105 posted on 02/20/2022 10:17:36 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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To: Godzilla

Thanks for the update.


106 posted on 02/20/2022 10:57:04 AM PST by Rusty0604 (" When you can't make them see the light, make them feel the heat." -Ronald Reagan)
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To: Godzilla
MSN passing on reports that Putin has issued the attack order and units undergoing final preparations. If this is the case we could be less than 12 hours away from the initiation of hostilities.

My irrational fear is that a cult-leader genius in the CIA has gone insane and is working at ending all life on our world...

107 posted on 02/20/2022 11:08:59 AM PST by GOPJ (We can ignore reality, but we cannot ignore the consequences of ignoring reality. Ayn Rand)
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To: null and void; aragorn; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; BusterDog; bgill; bitt; ...

________________________________

Globalism / Great Reset -

In February 2022, Klaus Schwab’s World Economic Forum (WEF) released a new report, “Advancing Digital Agency: The Power of Data Intermediaries,” which lays out their plans for the creation of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, a fusion of the “physical, digital and biological world.” The report states that the “COVID 19 pandemic has led to a heightened focus on the power of medical data, specifically so-called vaccine passports. These passports, by nature, serve as a form of digital identity.

OBSERVATION - Key takeaway is that this will permit increased individual monitoring of activities and purchases. It will form the foundation for a global social credit system that will give them the power to control citizens and punish those they deem “untrustworthy.”

Observers and commentators are wondering if the draconian crackdown in Canada under the Emergency Act is a beta test for biden to launch similar actions under potentially the Patriot Act. Many have noted the vast, unaccountable powers the govt can exert in an extra-constitutional manner.
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TRUCKER PROTESTS

Canadian Truck protest bullets. Recommend FR threads for up to date info -
- Organizers have decided to withdraw from Ottawa in the face of brutal police efforts to stop the protest. Brutality includes horses trampling protestors, rubber bullets, CS and pepper spray, and abundant batons clubbing protestors.
- One disturbing aspect of the Ottawa crackdowns were police going to stores and cafe’s that they claimed supported the protests by selling products to protestors.
- Trudeau govt is trying to take advantage of the “temporary “ powers to make permanent oppressive laws. Chief of these are unilateral power to freeze bank accounts and cancel insurance policies as well as targeting digital assets and funding mechanisms.
- The Emergency Powers declaration is still expected to be approved by parliament by a very slim majority. However, lawsuits against it are mounting. Most recent Alberta Premier Jason Kenney said he will be filing a court challenge against the Liberal government’s invocation of the Emergencies Act, saying it is unnecessary, disproportionate, and an intrusion into provincial jurisdiction.
- There is growing momentum among the Canadian trucking community to up the stakes by calling for a national trucker strike.
- The withdrawal of the Ottawa protest has kicked off numerous other protests across Canada.
One things for sure, the fat lady hasn’t sung yet.

Capitol police in D C are concerned about a trucker protest currently expected to reach the city in time tor biden’s so called ‘state of the union’ address. The capitol is in the process of re-erecting the fence around the building.

Police in New Zealand said anti-vaccine demonstrators threw human waste at them on Monday, as authorities attempt to place roadblocks around a camp built by demonstrators outside Wellington’s parliament building.
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Wuhan virus -

Foreign tourists are welcome in Australia once again after nearly two years.
German officials say COVID travel restrictions will be eased early next month.
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Economy -

March lumber futures in Chicago closed at $1,270 per 1,000 board ft. in Chicago on Friday, up more than 36% since the beginning of the month due to tighter Canadian supplies ahead of the spring building season.
Bloomberg reports the increase in lumber prices comes as Canfor Corporation, the world’s third-largest integrated forest products company based in Vancouver, British Columbia, announced a supply cut of 150 million board feet of production due to mountain pine beetle infestation that has devastated trees. Simultaneously, West Fraser Timber Co, the world’s largest timber company, reported port congestion and truck and rail car shortage make it challenging to transport lumber to buyers.
OBSERVATION - Invest in plywood , not gold. . . . .

Median rent rose 19.3 per cent in 12 months in the 50 largest US metro areas, according to Realtor.com. Economists worry about the impact of rent increases on inflation because the big jumps in new leases feed into the US consumer price index, which is used to measure inflation.

CNN claims: “Gas in California hit a record high of $4.72 a gallon on average on Wednesday — and experts say a whopping $5 a gallon will likely be the norm there in a matter of months, if not sooner.

In related the Biden administration announced Saturday that it will either suspend or delay new federal oil and gas leasing, weeks after Judge James Cain of the Western District of Louisiana blocked the administration’s method of calculating the social costs associated with greenhouse gases, the Hill reports.
OBSERVATION - Suspended or delayed permits will delay supplies in a longer term, but impact short term prices due to speculation and uncertainties in long term supply.

Last week, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission changed the rules on pending and future natural gas pipelines and related projects, citing the threat of catastrophic climate change and injecting environmental justice concerns. Now with a 3-2 Democratic majority under President Joe Biden, the vote followed party lines. One of the nay votes came from Mark Christie, formerly a member of Virginia’s State Corporation Commission and he issued the following statement .
“What the majority does today is essentially assume it has the power to rewrite both the Natural Gas Act (NGA) and the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA), but that is a power that we do not have; only the elected legislators in Congress have that power and they have not delegated it to us.
And the result, especially the greenhouse gas policy that purports to address climate change, is such a confusing mess of a policy that the majority sticks an “interim” label on it. But don’t be fooled by the “interim” label. This new policy – confusing as it is – applies right now, not only to new applications, but to all pending applications, and it will inflict material harm on all pending applications right now. Changing the rules in the middle of the game violates any serious principle of due process, regulatory certainty, and just basic fairness.”

OBSERVATION - Basically, the FERC has taken the powers to essentially shut down projects - at any stage - for ‘climate change’ reasons. Even to the extent of banning the use of natural gas.
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Invasion of Illegals -

The immigration policy that is known as the Remain in Mexico program is now on a fast track to having oral arguments heard by the U.S. Supreme Court. The Supreme Court agreed on Friday to expedite a review of the Biden administration’s plan to do away with the program.
In earlier judgments, lower courts have sided against the Biden administration and ruled that it has not provided adequate reasons for ending the policy. The courts have ruled that the Biden administration’s procedures for asylum seekers are unlawful.

76,000 Afghans have been relocated to cities across the United States. Relocation facilities on US military bases have shut down.
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Biden watch -

Global eyes on biden to see if he has the mental and physical stamina to pull off a meeting with Putin to halt the impending invasion of Ukraine .
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CW2/Domestic violence -

Protesters in Minneapolis on Friday called for harsher punishment for former Minnesota police officer Kim Potter, who was sentenced to two years behind bars in the shooting death of Duante Wright, and while the demonstrations were peaceful, police confirmed several looting incidents later in the day and looters in the area.

In Portland, Antifa picked a gunfight with a biker gang, Gypsy Jokers, and had their arses handed to them. In ultimate irony, Antifa complained that the Portland police did nothing to protect them.

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POLITICAL FRONT -

Pundits are noting that democrat infighting has resulted in sharpened attacks against the “squad” and the progressive wing. These attacks are viewed as efforts to pull back to the center in the face of a potentially devastating midterm election. Already, there are 30 democrat representatives who’ve announced their retirement and who’s seats will likely swing to republicans.
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Cyber Warfare -

There is RUMINT that the Canadian hacker who broke into GiveSendGo had allegedly worked for the FBI, INTERPOL, and the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) . Some infer that this is a ‘gray’ tactic that leftist govts will increasingly use to silence opposition.
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China -

The Australian Defence Department has strongly condemned ‘unsafe military conduct’ after an incident involving a defence force aircraft and a Chinese vessel. On Thursday February 17, the P-8A Poseidon detected a laser illuminating the aircraft while in flight over Australia’s northern approaches, Defence says. The laser was detected coming from a People’s Liberation Army Navy vessel, a statement on Saturday said.
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Russia - T-?

WAR WATCH - Putin has deployed the 75% of the Russian army for combat and can execute several options at any moment. Russian deployments indicate the capability to launch an offensive against Ukraine along 7 fronts: from the Union State of Russia and Belarus, from the Russian Federation, from Russian-occupied Donbas, from the Sea of Azov, from Russian-occupied Crimea, from the Black Sea, from Russian-occupied Moldova.

****Update ****
Here are the current indicators of an impending attack -
- Increasing conflict between separatists and Ukrainian forces. Shelling by separatist forces continues to increase.
- “Exercises” in Belarus have been extended.
- Tactical units are deployed in “jump off’ positions.

POTENTIAL DIRECT THREATS TO THE US -
- Cyber attacks on energy and economic targets

********

The weekend was in deed chaotic and the ability of OSINT has become limited due to the extent of Russian preparations for attack. Assembly areas have emptied out and forces are deployed tactically in designated ‘jump off’ points. Intelligence now is the realm of classified nature. We’ve seen false flags and propaganda ‘sources’ all weekend and continue today. Bottom line is, the gun is cocked and is waiting the pull of the tigger by Putin.

(Reuters) - U.S. President Joe Biden and Russia’s Vladimir Putin have agreed in principle to hold a summit on the Ukraine crisis, the office of French President Emmanuel Macron said on Monday. “The substance will have to be prepared by (U.S.) Secretary Blinken and (Russian Foreign) Minister Lavrov during their meeting on Thursday 24 February,” the Elysee palace said.
“It can only be held at the condition that Russia does not invade Ukraine.”
Tentative date for this meeting is Thursday.
However, Putin both accepted “the principle” of holding a US-Russia summit, the Kremlin said no plans have yet been made.

OBSERVATION - The sincerity of Putin on talks is uncertain. Right now it appears that he is like a cat playing with a mouse. However, there comes a moment where he has to *hit or get off the pot. Delaying offensive operations will only degrade his forces ability to execute their mission and the clock is ticking.

Russian Southern Military district has claimed that 2 Ukrainian military vehicles attempted to enter Rostov region “for evacuation”. Military units of District and FSB killed 5 saboteurs from the group
NOTE!!!! - This is most likely propaganda and should be considered with suspicion given the plethora of other propaganda and false flags coming out of that area. I post this as an example of what to be wary of.

POTENTIAL AXIS OF RUSSIAN ATTACKS -
A lot os speculation on the nature and extent of any Russian attack. I’m inclined to view an attack that attempts to envelope the bulk of Ukrainian forces in eastern Ukraine and cutting off Kiev in the process. Russian forces aligned against eastern Ukraine would attempt a pincer around the separatist controlled areas with forces in the Belarus / Russia region not of Kiev attacking southward west of Kiev, along the western bank of the Dnepir River to cut off reinforcements or block retreat of Ukraine forces. The combined operation would cut off Kiev and force capitulation without a bloody fight to take the city.
A smaller operation will be made to connect Crimea to the separatist controlled regions - the “land bridge’ Russia desires, as well as securing water supples to the region that were cut off in 2014.
NOTE - Russia hasn’t executed a military operation of this scale since WW2 and success depends on how well they can coordinate all the pieces. Historically, Russia hasn’t had the NCO corps that the US army has, so as officer leadership gets attritted, independent operations will decline. I’m not sure how successful Russia has been to correct this historic weakness.
Also note that Russian will likely gain air superiority over Ukraine very quickly., permitting ground maneuver elements freedom of movement.
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Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Temperatures forecast thru Feb 28 show temperatures in the mid to upper 40’s to even 50’s with rain/snow.
This forecast indicates that soil conditions are shifting from frozen much softer. Today is a waning Gibbous moon.

To give a measure of how much fighting between separatists and Ukraine forces have grown, reported violations of the cease fire were about 5 /day and over the weekend went well above 2000.
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Belarus -

Russia will extend its military deployment in Belarus indefinitely in response to renewed fighting in eastern Ukraine, the Belarusian Defense Ministry announced on Sunday – the day the joint maneuvers were supposedly to have ended. Russia had earlier announced that those forces will redeploy after the end of the exercise.
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Black Swans -

Bill Gates has been on the radar saying that a new, deadlier disease will be striking soon. Could be just his genocidal wishes or a slip of globalist plans.


108 posted on 02/21/2022 7:11:05 AM PST by Godzilla (Never give up, never surrender . . . . . .)
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