Posted on 10/21/2021 3:37:48 PM PDT by Duffman1990
A new New Jersey gubernatorial poll just out shows Jack Ciattarelli literally breathing down Phil Murphy's neck. Jack has closed the gap and has turned what once was an apparent Murphy triumph into a six-point race that is now thisclose to the poll's four point margin of error. This is all quite startling and we must point out that the poll is already three days old (conducted through 10/18). So, if Jack's been gaining day-by-day these numbers could now be even closer and there's enough time to close this gap (if there really is one) and move ahead. Here are the Emerson College/PIX 11 poll highlights:
Among those very likely to vote, Jack leads Murphy 48 percent to 45 percent. This is the all important enthusiasm factor. Jack's voters appear to be more motivated. Among the critical independent voters, Jack romps 56 percent to 32 percent. Murphy's numbers have not been improving and he can't seem to break 50 percent. He has little or no wiggle room as Jack advances. Voters overwhelmingly identify taxes and jobs (67 percent) as the most important issues in the race. This is not good news for Murphy. Jack's favorables are now as good as Murphy's and Jack has become much better known to voters. In fact, only four percent of voters say they haven't heard of Jack at this point. Among those voters still undecided, Jack is now leading by 60 percent to 40 percent. When those voters are allocated as they now lean, this becomes a four-point race, within the margin of error! Murphy still holds an advantage on the COVID issue but jack has cut that down to four points when voters are asked who could best handle that issue. 51 percent of voters gave Murphy a grade of only C or lower on his handling of hurricane Ida. Not good! Bottom line: This is CLEARLY a winnable race. Jack is within striking distance. Avanti!
I keep telling everyone this is a winnable race. All freepers need to get out and vote for Jack!!
I think you are right but I’m not counting on it. I cannot stand Murphy the demented woodchuck.
Im staying home. The winner is predetermined and I aint playing along anymore. Fix 2020 first.
MOE applies to each element, not the difference between them. Statistics 101.
It’s OK though, nobody ever gets it right, but it is a tell to identify those who either never took a statistics course or took the dumbed down “journalism” version.
Thanks Debbie Downer. No one asked you to make any kind of effort so mope all you want.
Phil Murphy’s closing remarks after the last debate, even the cheering section in the audience didn’t like what he thinks of us. Worth a watch;
https://www.c-span.org/video/?c4981625/jersey-gubernatorial-debate-closing-statements
I think the author needs to learn the meaning of the word "literally"
yep
LOL. Here we go again. NJ is in play—not.
I’m from NJ, and am astounded that anyone could vote for for this slope-shouldered “man” with Austin Powers dental work. What a pussy.
A Democrat would lose every election if they were forbidden from taking money from the doers and gives it to losers.
I’ve lived here all my life. Democrat governors tend to serve only one term, followed by a two term Republican governor. It flip flops all the time like this. The Dems really screw up each time they are elected. Don’t count the Republican out yet.
You are correct. That is the pattern.
The Covid-19 nursing home massacre is enough in itself to throw out this creep.
Murphy’s policy was an even bigger disaster than Andrew Cuomo in New York.
I lived New Jersey in 1996 & 1997. Will they still let me register to vote absentee?
Was not going to vote for this RINO but now I will. If Citarelli and Youngkin both win that’ll be Katie bar the door for sure!
A random name in the phone book would be better than King Philip the unaccountable
I have very little faith in NJ.
Which liberal will win? I await with baited breath.
life isn’t stuck at 2020, time keeps moving. Sure we need to fix 2020 presidential and many other race elections but this race fro governor has no bearing on what happened in 2020 election.
you get your choice to sit home if you want, enjoy yourself
Jack is an ass like Murph. This race is a beauty contest and the judges are shmucks.
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