Yes, what you said. Or that he was intentionally led down this path, due to they (whoever is running this country from the White House) are ready to dispose of Joe, and have a new plan to be announced very soon.
That new big plan will fail unless the military gets off its ass and does an all out assault and take Bagram airbase back, get the men and equipment in there that will be capable of advancing on Kabul and kick ass. But of course they will wait until the ragheads reinforce bagram and put in some chicom anti aircraft assets.