I think if the difference between Trump and Biden was small, the fraud would have slipped in and created an outcome that was within the margin of error. Not so much an outlier outcome that it would attract suspicion.
The media narrative would be that in spite of the polls showing Biden ahead, Trump nearly closed the gap but just didn’t have enough time, money, etc.
The problem was Trump outperformed all expectations and they were already committed. So in a panic, they modified, generated and/or injected so many fraudulent ballots that it threw up incredible amounts of statistical smoke.
Trump’s team is probably following that smoke right to the fire. I think they may know more than we do about it and probably were analyzing it while it happened.
I agree with you. They were tracking everything very carefully and when Fox called AZ for Biden, Trump’s guy was immediately out disputing the call. When Trump came out at 2:00am and said he wasn’t going to let them steal the election he knew what he was talking about. He wouldn’t use that word lightly.
No question Trump seriously outperformed, getting an incredible 71 million votes against about 62 million last time. This forced that unbelievable amount of fraud and I think, played into Trump’s hands. He’s got a powerful case in several ways.