Question regarding Maricopa AZ early voting

twittter ^ | 10/25/2020 | Garrett archer

[ThinkingBuddha]

Maricopa County: 2016 - all early ballots returned prior to election day: Total: 1,025,703 R: 421,566 D: 327,546 O: 276,591

2020 - Early ballots Total: 1,064,013 R: 379,435 D: 421,241 O: 263,337

[byecomey]

You could always calculate the TargetSmart EV supervoters for CO and approximate that way, like I did for Florida.

In fact, having a chart of supervoters in battleground states might be nice to have.

[Notthereyet]

“Could be some of the dims are voting secretly for Trump.”
_______________________________________________

I sincerely hope so, spokeshave, that you are correct.

At some point there have got to be democrats who realize what their party is really all about.

My beloved husband believes many democrats stay listed that way to keep peace in the family or among friends, and that they will vote Republican once they are in the privacy of the voting both...or vote that way by Mail-in Ballot.

Please, may the Lord God grant us another 4 years of Pres Trump to bring us back from the edge...

[wiseprince]

Prove me wrong, nothing would excite me more at this point. Winning AZ makes 270 much easier

[wiseprince]

Gonna torch the country on their way out eh. Thanks for nothing. Is it about Healthcare?

[SPDSHDW]

20 years changes a lot. GA has been importing Cesspool Hollywood for at least 10 years now. While I doubt Biden will win this time, GA will probably be purple in the next 15 years.

[wiseprince]

Its not 20 years, it’s 4. Trump had over 2m votes 4 years ago. The hotly contested govenor race still had GOP getting 1.9m and the candidate had huge black support. Trump has to go back to 2000 levels to be down by 7 or the dems are going to have to turn out an extra 500k people. Where is the evidence of that?!?

[Coop]

Prove me wrong, nothing would excite me more at this point.

I don't believe you. Most of the time when I see your posts they are considerably negative regarding the GOP winning. You smell of troll.

But still happy to provide some info for those who may be interested in GOP get-out-the-vote operations.

General: Trump campaign reaches 100M voters as team Biden avoids door knocks

Neighboring Colorado: Trump campaign, Colorado Republicans log 2 million voter contacts by volunteers

Arizona:
Republicans in Arizona continue to knock on doors to talk to voters in person...Their work appears to have paid off with, many new Republican voters registered...Voter registration among Republicans increased more in the past few months than it did among Democrats and voters who didn't choose a political party. From early August until Oct. 5, Republicans increased their ranks by more than 6.5%, or more than 90,000 voters, numbers from the Arizona Secretary of State's office show.
How do you get out the vote during a pandemic? In Arizona, it depends on your political party

[hsmomx3]

You know what I think? The silly women are “insulted” by Trump so they assume Biden is the better person.

[Coop]

Admit it! You would swoon if Joe Biden sniffed your hair. :-D

[hsmomx3]

Ha...he’d never be given the chance to get that close to me.

[Owen]

The GOP had a 4% registration advantage in AZ in 2016. It has reduced to 2%. That 2% loss came nearly all from Independents who went from 33 to 31%.

IOW those Independents voted Dem, anyway.

You can expect a concentration of that registration change to have occurred in Phoenix/Maricopa. The rest of the state . . . the numbers remain a 2% GOP registration advantage.

[wiseprince]

Appreciate the articles. I doubt CO is in play though as I haven’t heard much discussion around it. 2m people in July is defined a positive stat but does that translate since Trump isn’t going there? The AZ article was very encouraging. No way to know how non affiliated voters are breaking so its possible that the Maricopa numbers aren’t as good for Dems as they appear out of the gate but it’s fair to say there’s still work left to do in the state to bring it back to the Trump column

[Coop]

You’re welcome. I suspect Gardner and the CO GOP are mostly on their own, barring a last-minute swoop in from the Trump campaign. I would love to see POTUS hit NV, AZ, CO and NM in one trip, but of the four he really only needs AZ to win a second term. But I still think NV flips, and I hold out hope for CO and perhaps even NM.