Biden is neither a Texan nor a fake hispanic. Add 10 points.
I graphed “enthusiasm” by the number of early votes.
Turnout in Counties outside of the Major cites, but where Beto won, is pathetic
In the 23 lowest turn out counties (28% or Less of RV’s), Beto beat Cruz 64% / 36%. Those are RV’s Joe needs, but isn’t getting.
Competitive house races in the Big cites are also going to crush Biden. Biden only gained ground on Trump in my model over the weekend, because 165 Red county polls were closed Sat & Sunday.
If Biden isn’t ahead in my model by Monday, Stick a fork in him.