If it is even half that Biden is toast. But I also now fully expect another cop shooting riot to come before election day. Very predictable how the democrat media rent a mob complex operates. The last time Trump polls looked good with blacks we got the George Floyd thing. I predicted that too as I am sure many did.
RE: If it is even half that Biden is toast.
My personal estimate is 1/3 of that. Trump won 8% of the black vote in 2016. The most conservative estimate will be for him to win over 12% of the black vote this year. 15% is DOABLE. With this, he WINS the election.
Also, do not forget the Latino vote. He got 29% in 2016. Conservative estimates tell us that he will win at least 35% of the Hispanic votes this year. 37% is DOABLE.