[CatOwner]

FL may end up on election day being a D lead of under 150,000.

They had almost a million lead in 2012.

What about 2016?

[byecomey]

Republicans did not turn out in 2016, especially urban ones per my model from back then. They turned out at maybe 90%-95% rate.

Lower Black turnout, as well as flipping white union and rural folks, carried Trump to victory.