[People would have believed you Fauci, except you became a little bitch. Now you could cure cancer and neither side would believe you.]
“science is truth”?
2% of 70% of 7.8 billion could potentially die, according to Lipsitch:
22 Feb: WaPo: Coronavirus outbreak edges closer to pandemic status
By Carolyn Y. Johnson, Lena H. Sun, William Wan and Joel Achenbach; Min Joo Kim in Seoul, Amanda Coletta in Washington and Chico Harlan and Stefano Pitrelli in Rome contributed to this report
Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch estimates that 40 to 70 percent of the human population could potentially be infected by the virus if it becomes pandemic...
The estimated death rate attributed to covid-19 — roughly 2 in 100 confirmed infections — may also drop over time as researchers get a better understanding of how widely the virus has spread…
https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/coronavirus-outbreak-edges-closer-to-pandemic/2020/02/21/03afafc0-5429-11ea-9e47-59804be1dcfb_story.html
27 Mar: UK Independent: Coronavirus: Dr Deborah Birx making ‘fundamental scientific errors’ in rush to reopen US, warns expert behind White House data
Marc Lipsitch condemned Deborah Birx for presenting a best-case scenario as likely
by Andrew Naughtie
A leading US epidemiologist has accused one of the doctors on the White House’s coronavirus task force of “false reassurance” after she said a model he helped develop to predict the spread of the virus overstated the number of people likely to develop Covid-19 – when in fact it referred to something more like a best-case scenario.
Marc Lipsitch, a professor of epidemiology at Harvard University, has previously criticised the US government for a “feckless” response that has failed to slow the epidemic’s progress, and called for intense social distancing policies coupled with a “massive expansion” in testing capacity…
In response, Professor Lipsitch wrote that “Our modeling (done by @StephenKissler based on work with @ctedijanto and @yhgrad and me) is one of the models she is talking about” – and that on that basis, he found Dr Birx’s explanation misleading…
Johns Hopkins public health academic Tom Inglesby: “Anyone advising the end of social distancing now, needs to fully understand what the country will look like if we do that. COVID would spread widely, rapidly, terribly, could kill potentially millions in the year ahead with huge social and economic impact across the country.”…
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/coronavirus-harvard-scientist-deborah-birx-scientific-error-a9429516.html
has anyone seen Lipsitch’s data yet?