Here’s a thought for ya:
If all the anti-viral measures are so effective on COVID-19 then why is the flu still spreading and killing??
I think the doom doctors are still viewing the pandemic as something that can/will overwhelm hospitals. In other words, they are admitting the modeling was wrong, but they are still basing the lockdown decision on....... the same models.
Here is what we know at this point with a high degree of certainty.
If you are not over 60 years of age, you are not obese, you are not diabetic, and you do not have other underlying health conditions you are no more likely to die of Wuhan flu than you are from seasonal influenza. There is even less risks to children and young adults.
Are there exceptions to this rule? Sure.
However, unless we remain in isolation for another month and completely destroy our economy we are going to face this problem no matter what because we have to get back to work. We can face it now or face it then, but we will face it so what is the benefit of continuing a one-size fits all self-isolation?
I suspect at this point that Trump is waiting until much more testing is available and we have another two weeks of data on potential treatment regimes for the most severe cases. There have been a lot of stories about treatment successes in the news if you can wade through the media hysteria and politicization of the virus. However, at some point we are going to face it. I will be exposed and it is likely you will be also unless you stay closed up in your house.
I am ready to get it over with and statistically I like my chances. I am worried about my parents and our last remaining grandparent. They need to stay as isolated as possible for another month or two until we learn more about this.