As another thread here from gateway pundit showed, not fearmongering from CNN or MSNBC, showed Brit Hume of all people providing real stats, not ohhh run for the hills. And he provided the stats from the 15th.
We can go by concrete, real stats. Reason, rationality...Hope.
But some will wring their hands anyway and have emotional outbursts when they don’t know the sky will fall.
We can go by concrete, real stats.
March 20 (237 of 18,845) = 1.26% dead-so-far. The unknown is simply assumed to all be survivors.
For yesterday evening’s stats: cases 33276, dead 417, recovered 178.
You need cohort studies to determine the fatality rate during the middle of an outbreak. Until then, the only concrete number we actually have for US cases is 417/(417+178) = 70%, which is grossly overstated because it takes less time to die than it does to recover and it is still very early in the cycle.
We have hints - to the extent we trust them - from China’s numbers, which are aligning to a fatality rate of about 4.0-4.3% of reported cases. Hopefully we do better than that, given we have already established treatments.
It is just as unreasonable to say each that the death rate is 1.25% and to say that the survival rate is 0.53%, when 98.21% are still sick.
Even moreso when over half had been identified within the previous three days, and the typical time between onset of symptoms and death is around 8 days and can be up to 41 days.