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Under the existing growth rates, the US is projected to hit 1,141 CV related deaths by 3/31. You don't have to be a weatherman to tell which way the wind is blowing.

That's why Trump sent out his tweet last night - it's important for him to get ahead of the "overreaction" story. Rather, Trump needs to set the narrative that the numbers are more modest due to aggressive and decisive action taken by him early in the outbreak.

		Italy	60.5				USA	330.4	
Day	Date	Total	% Chg	Daily	Differential	Date	Total	% Chg	Daily
									
1	2/21/2020	1		1	1.0	2/29/2020	1		1
2	2/22/2020	2	100.0%	1	1.0	3/1/2020	2	100.0%	1
3	2/23/2020	3	50.0%	1	0.5	3/2/2020	6	200.0%	4
4	2/24/2020	7	133.3%	4	0.8	3/3/2020	9	50.0%	3
5	2/25/2020	10	42.9%	3	0.8	3/4/2020	12	33.3%	3
6	2/26/2020	12	20.0%	2	0.9	3/5/2020	14	16.7%	2
7	2/27/2020	17	41.7%	5	0.9	3/6/2020	18	28.6%	4
8	2/28/2020	21	23.5%	4	1.1	3/7/2020	19	5.6%	1
9	2/29/2020	29	38.1%	8	1.3	3/8/2020	22	15.8%	3
10	3/1/2020	34	17.2%	5	1.3	3/9/2020	26	18.2%	4
11	3/2/2020	52	52.9%	18	1.7	3/10/2020	31	19.2%	5
12	3/3/2020	79	51.9%	27	2.1	3/11/2020	38	22.6%	7
13	3/4/2020	107	35.4%	28	2.5	3/12/2020	42	10.5%	4
14	3/5/2020	148	38.3%	41	3.0	3/13/2020	49	16.7%	7
15	3/6/2020	197	33.1%	49	3.5	3/14/2020	56	14.3%	7
16	3/7/2020	233	18.3%	36	3.8	3/15/2020	62	10.7%	6
17	3/8/2020	366	57.1%	133	4.9	3/16/2020	75	21.0%	13
18	3/9/2020	463	26.5%	97	4.8	3/17/2020	96	28.0%	21
19	3/10/2020	631	36.3%	168	5.2	3/18/2020	122	27.1%	26
20	3/11/2020	827	31.1%	196	4.8	3/19/2020	174	42.6%	52
21	3/12/2020	1,027	24.2%	200	4.5	3/20/2020	229	31.6%	55
22	3/13/2020	1,266	23.3%	239	4.3	3/21/2020	294	28.4%	65
23	3/14/2020	1,441	13.8%	175	3.6	3/22/2020	400	36.1%	106
24	3/15/2020	1,809	25.5%	368	4.0	3/23/2020	456	14.0%	56
25	3/16/2020	2,158	19.3%	349	4.2	3/24/2020	520	14.0%	64
26	3/17/2020	2,503	16.0%	345	4.2	3/25/2020	593	14.0%	73
27	3/18/2020	2,978	19.0%	475	4.4	3/26/2020	676	14.0%	83
28	3/19/2020	3,405	14.3%	427	4.4	3/27/2020	770	14.0%	95
29	3/20/2020	4,032	18.4%	627	4.6	3/28/2020	878	14.0%	108
30	3/21/2020	4,825	19.7%	793	4.8	3/29/2020	1,001	14.0%	123
31	3/22/2020	5,476	13.5%	651	4.8	3/30/2020	1,141	14.0%	140
									
	Population differential				5.5				
	Gross differential				23.5				
									
Growth rate									
23	Days		37.19%					29.76%	
31	Days		32.01%					25.49%	
									
Sources									
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_the_United_States									
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Italy

PS "Cases" is a made up term that has no statistical relevance. It doesn't actually measure new infections, rather just those testing positive - true or false. In other words, it's a function of ramped up testing, not ramped up disease. It's why the MSM is using in order to continue pushing their narrative. Follow fatalities - the tape tells the tale.

PPS Once again I need to state that these models are freely available for anyone. Just send me a PM and you can alter, modify, and model anything you wish to project/test data, assumptions, etc.