[tatown]

More testing picks up a higher percentage of mild cases, thus the mortality rate declines. During the initial stages primarily the very sick are limited to testing.

The mortality rate would/will decline much further when sero testing is done. This will include those that either already had the disease or were asymptomatic (which has been shown to be the vast majority). Bottom line the true mortality rate is vastly lower that what has been published. You won’t hear this on the ‘news’ because it kills their fear-porn.

[lepton]

Bottom line the true mortality rate is vastly lower that what has been published.

---

Someone posted to me an interesting study of the cases in China, which suggested that by about Feb 8th the number of unknown cases was likely to be about 35% of the total cases (an increase of about 54% from known cases). If that holds true here (and the evidence until the beginning of last week suggests it was lower than that), it does still affect the numbers, but not “vastly”.

https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/13/science.abb3221