[CatOwner]

Given how splintered politically we are as a country, I doubt it would have a huge impact on Congressional races. As it is, it remains to be seen if a re-elected Trump would have any coattails.

[cgbg]

There are two kinds of coat-tails:

—The commonly publicized positive coat-tails, where voters switch parties to the Presidential candidate and vote the Presidential candidate’s party line

—The mostly ignored negative coat-tails, where voters refuse to show up to the polls because they dislike the Presidential candidate, so they are not available to vote the Presidential candidate’s party line

It is the _negative_ coat tails that would sink the Democratic down-ticket candidates.

[SmokingJoe]

Given how splintered politically we are as a country, I doubt it would have a huge impact on Congressional races

In the 30 congressional districts that Trump won that are currently held by the Democrats? You bet.