As I’ve said ad nauseum about all the pro Dimocrat polls, a year in politics might as well be the next century. Polls about the 2020 general election at this stage are meaningless.
Always remember 1992. George W. Bush was polling 78% approval ratings in February after beating Iraq like a rented mule in the first Gulf War and it was widely reported, even by the enemedia, that he would beat 1988 election numbers. By November, Clinton beat him like a rented mule.
2/3 of their model consists of the unemployment rate and the S&P 500. Well,you definitely can’t lie about that last one. It’s not sure how they measure consumer confidence.
It would seem that as long as the stock market stays up and unemployment stays down, he’s in.