Fair enough.
I am sure you are aware of the Turing Test which people have claimed would be passed in the 'next 5 to 10 years' for the last 50.
How can one reasonably expect to create and deploy a fleet of fully autonomous cars when we can't yet approach passing the Turing Test ?
“How can one reasonably expect to create and deploy a fleet of fully autonomous cars when we can’t yet approach passing the Turing Test ?”
Computers and software are superior to human abilities for many tasks. Whether computers will be able to become more intelligent than humans is debatable. But I don’t think driving cars requires human-level intelligence.
What it does require is breaking down the larger task into smaller pieces until every critical factor has been clearly defined. I think we will have self-driving cars that can drive better than any human within 5 years.
Further, the more self-driving cars are in operation, the more predictable other drivers will be. To a large extent, safe driving is defensive driving because there are so many bad drivers on the road.