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To: UKrepublican

“Point is it was equally as unreliable before the polls closed.”

Can you show me evidence that betting odds are “equally as unreliable”?

“As for speculation methodology - One could cite opinion polls if you see them in that light.”

As wise people say, opinions are like aholes. Everybody’s got them. Unless they put their money on the line, their opinion means nothing.

“Not denying they are a useful thing to look at - however my point was only that they can and have been hugely wrong, so I would not be despondent if the markets went against my preferred candidate.”

That is why it is called an upset. Things that are not expected to happen, using the most rational speculation methodology like betting odds, sometimes do happen. This is also the perfect opportunity to bet on Trump and get 4 times the return in 90 days.


26 posted on 08/15/2016 9:01:48 AM PDT by sagar
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To: sagar

I said equally unreliable as in equally unreliable as how the betting markets were after the polls closed. It was insanely in wrong, a complete reversal of what the bookies were saying.

And yes I know what an upset was - my point was and remains, they can be hugely wrong, and so I won’t lose any sleep based on what the bookies are telling people, which I can only imagine right up to election day will be that HRC will be the next President.


27 posted on 08/15/2016 9:11:24 AM PDT by UKrepublican
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