There is only one question that really matters here. What is Russia’s role in all this?
Erdogan supports ISIS. He has been selling their oil. He is in direct opposition to the Syrian regime that Russia is supporting.
However, this is a chance to fragment NATO so from a strategic standpoint that would be a plus.
I don’t know. I don’t think Russia would support Erdogan because it creates big problems for them that probably outweigh the problems it creates for NATO. Russia is very concerned about their own security. NATO is not an offensive threat to them - ISIS is.
People forget that Russia has their own Muslim problems so they are worried about their own citizens and those bordering them becoming radicalized.
Another great moment for the foreign policy of the Obama administration. They got us out of Iraq blowing any bumbling gains we had made there, bolstered Iran, and birthed ISIS by cheering the Arab Spring and lighting the rest of the place on fire.