Primaries left:
May 3, 2016 (54 bound):
• Indiana Primary (57/54 bound) — Winner take all statewide and by congressional district
May 10, 2016 (67 bound):
• Nebraska Primary (36 bound) — Winner take all
• West Virginia Primary (34/31 bound) — Delegates elected directly on ballot and bound by preference
May 17, 2016 (25 bound):
• Oregon Primary (28/25 bound) — Proportional
May 27, 2016 (41 bound):
• Washington Primary (44/41 bound) — Proportional with 20% threshold
Last Call: June 7, 2016 (294 bound):
The final primary day, with a large crop of delegates up for grabs.
• California Primary (172/169 bound) — Winner take all statewide and by congressional district
• Montana Primary (27 bound) — Winner take all
• New Jersey Primary (51 bound) — Winner take all
• New Mexico Primary (24/21 bound) — Proportional with 15% threshold
• South Dakota Primary (29/26 bound) — Winner take all
Trump says he has 1001 delegates. I am sure Cruz will challenge that number but, I am going with 1001 delegates.
Let’s do some math:
1237 - 1001 = 236 needed delegates to win the nomination.
Indiana Primary: 236 - 54 = 182 if Trump wins Indiana.
Nebraska Primary: 182 - 36 = 146
West Virginia Primary: 146 - 31 = 115
Oregon Primary: 115 - 25 = 90
Washington Primary: 90 - 41 = 49
California Primary: 49 - 169 = -120 Trump would have 120 more delegates needed to win the nomination.
If Trump does not win California:
Montana primary: 49 - 27 = 22
New Jersey Primary: 22 - 51 = -29 Trump would have 29 more delegates needed to win the nomination.
With New Mexico (21) and South Dakota (29), Trump would have 79 more delegates needed to win the nomination.
California is going to say in the epic blowout for Trump. Those protesters and their Mexican flags have pissed people the hell off around here and Snarly Carly is widely hated.