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To: PROCON
In its annual report on “global catastrophic risk,” the nonprofit debuted a startling statistic: Across the span of their lives, the average American is more than five times likelier to die during a human-extinction event than in a car crash.

That's not a statistic. It's a probabilistic prediction masquerading as a scientific "fact". The correct phrasing should be "If our model is correct,..." Mighty big if.

10 posted on 04/30/2016 2:33:31 PM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (The Democratic Party strongly supports full Civil Rights for Necro-Americans!)
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets
Mighty big if.

Whadda ya mean?

Aren't they always right with their globull warming predictions?

13 posted on 04/30/2016 2:37:01 PM PDT by PROCON
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets

the average American is more than five times likelier to die during a human-extinction event than in a car crash.

It all depends on weather you are the one in the car.


70 posted on 04/30/2016 4:49:40 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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