Spin it however you wish, “conservatives” will likely make him or break him in the general.
No spin. Conservatives are not monolythic.
Nor do the Shiite Conservatives represent enough of the population of the US to overcome the rest of the patriots of all stripes.
Time will tell. The general also depends on who is running on both sides and what world events are happening.
Financial crisis? Advantage Trump over Bernie or Hillary.
Terrorist attack? Advantage Trump over Bernie or Hillary.
I believe we will have more than one incident of each between now and then.