It's got the observation I had last night: The Cruz victory was a good one for him, but it may be an outlier in the end. Trump isn't going to stay pat, and he had the best concession speech of them all, showing his acumen.
What I think this blogger doesn't get is how Rubio has the perfect persona for a campaign, telegenic, likable, and speaks well. He also doesn't see the money that Rubio will be awash in for future states. Rubio is the last great hope for the establishment/amnesty/chamber people.
If Rubio gets to second in NH, and then in SC with all that money, I think he'll knock Cruz out before Trump. Rubio is the biggest threat to both candidates (and to conservatives), he's the pretty version of Jeb.
I agree with this guy, that Trump will regroup, and do much better. His ability to see how to change is strong, he's going to try to figure out how to reset on the win track. He only got one less delegate in Iowa where he initially was never supposed to place. New Hampshire, and then South Carolina will give us the true test of the state of the race. They will be key to how the rest will go, not Iowa.
I still think Trump has the money and the armor to take out any of the democrats, to include Biden or Warren. He’s a new conservative, some of his positions either suck or are poorly stated, and he’s a gamble. But he can win. And he just might believe in this conservatism he says he’s adopted. The troubling thing about gambling is Scotus judges. It’s crucial that he appoint moral conservatives to the bench. He opens a real path to New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Michigan...His chance to win against the liberals on a ten point scale, 10 high. Trump gets a 7.
I think Cruz is the best conservative. He’s smart, he’s engaged, he’s actually experienced beyond his one term in the senate in both business and government, all on the legal side. He’s fairly well financed, but we wonder if he’ll get the kind of money he needs to compete with the liberal establishment. Fox has proven to me that they are liberal and he’ll get hammered there more than he gets helped. He adds zero in terms of a new electoral path to victory, and being from Texas, he doesn’t add a state that we won’t get anyway. Social conservatives WILL come out to support him and maybe Hispanics. That says he’ll look for conservative justices to appoint to Scotus. His chance to win against the liberals on a ten point scale, 10 high. Cruz gets a 6
Rubio is traditionally a conservative, but the comprehensive immigration bill needs to be weighted more than anything except Life and Guns. He sold out on amnesty. Being the son of non-US citizens, an anchor baby, it is easy to see WHY he went that way. He is, however, the most outspoken in favor of natural marriage, natural marriage, and traditional morality. He is strong on defense, but amnesty says he’s weak on homeland security. Just to be honest, Rubio is George W. Bush, a compassionate conservative. His morality says he’ll look for conservative judges. I can support him if I have to. Electorally, he guarantees that Florida is red, but that is still the traditional republican electoral path to victory. We know how GW Bush made us hold our breath, well, the same with Rubio. He does bring in Hispanics. His chance to win against the liberals on a ten point scale, 10 high. Rubio gets a 7
To get the pure conservative we give up a bit in the area of electability, in my opinion. That leaves us with a gamble or another ‘compassionate conservative’.