You can either support a guy who would almost assuredly use his position to STIFLE liberty and conservatism (that would be Trump), or you can support someone who would assuredly use his position to ADVANCE limited government Constitutional conservatism (that would be Cruz).
Polls and paradigms are about as relevant to that stark reality as the man in the moon.
Ever hear about the frog slow boiled in the pot? The burner is on higher the last couple of years...