I am puzzled. Here is the poll that was mentioned. Both CNN and Rush claimed that Cruz came in over Clinton in three swing states.
Read it and get puzzled too.
Cruz | CO | IA | VA |
Favorable | 28% | 26% | 30% |
Unfavorable | 34 | 31 | 38 |
Hvn't hrd enough | 36 | 42 | 31 |
REFUSED | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Cruz's challenge is going to be to move the undecideds into "favorable". It's usually the kiss of death to be over 50% unfavorable.
For comparison, here's Rand:
Rand | CO | IA | VA |
Favorable | 36% | 35% | 34% |
Unfavorable | 31 | 29 | 31 |
Hvn't hrd enough | 33 | 35 | 33 |
REFUSED | 1 | 1 | 2 |
This is a registered voter poll, so includes Donks. Still, you can see Cruz has a lot more work to do to get to >50% approval in all three states, and needs to do considerably better than break-even in wooing the undecideds.
The good news for whoever the eventual GOP nominee is, is that Hillary has terrible approval ratings.
CO | IA | VA | |
Favorable | 41% | 45% | 48% |
Unfavorable | 51 | 47 | 45 |
Hvn't hrd enough | 6 | 5 | 4 |
REFUSED | 2 | 2 | 2 |
What is puzzling about the poll? It seems straight forward to me.