But Curbelo, of Cuban ancestry can win Miami-Dade for U.S. House.
Is Curbelo a Republican?
He'd be lucky to get 25% of the vote in a Cuban District in New Jersey or New York.
There are two different groups of Cubans, for those who don't know.
The first group arrived in the 1960’s. They were the Cuban professional class and former business owners, and most of them traced their ancestry to Europe. They were massively Republican, but their children and grandchildren have moved slowly but surely toward the center.
The second group started arriving in the late 1970’s and is still arriving 35 years later. They were overwhelmingly Hispanic and African. And they vote overwhelmingly Democrat. Huge numbers of that group have moved to the New York City metro area, and they vote like it.