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To: TexGrill

This electorate has shown a hard shift leftward since the last GOP White House win in 2004. As much of a joke Biden the Slow is to us he has a built-in advantage if he’s the dems’ nominee: he’s not a Republican. If somehow Hillary decides not to run (the ONLY scenario preventing her inauguration in 2017), Biden still has a much stronger chance of winning than whichever GOPer goes against him in 2016. Doesn’t mean he won’t stumble, which he likely will at some point, but out the gate, he’ll be in the stronger position.


11 posted on 08/20/2013 2:32:46 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If you don't care about Antonio Santiago, sure as hell don't whine about Trayvon Martin.)
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To: ScottinVA

GOPers have already blown it. Whoever gets the Democratic nomination for President in 2016, will coast to a smooth victory. But on the bright side if Biden becomes El Presidente, at least we can laugh at the clown-in-chief for 8 years.


12 posted on 08/20/2013 2:41:12 AM PDT by TexGrill (Don't mess with Texas)
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To: ScottinVA
This electorate has shown a hard shift leftward since the last GOP White House win in 2004. As much of a joke Biden the Slow is to us he has a built-in advantage if he’s the dems’ nominee: he’s not a Republican. If somehow Hillary decides not to run (the ONLY scenario preventing her inauguration in 2017), Biden still has a much stronger chance of winning than whichever GOPer goes against him in 2016. Doesn’t mean he won’t stumble, which he likely will at some point, but out the gate, he’ll be in the stronger position.

Apart from the first sentence, I agree with everything you say.

However, I disagree that the electorate "has shown a hard shift leftward". It really hasn't. What it's shown is actually a slight shift to the right, and another shift, mostly by young voters) to Libertarian).

The "hard shift" has been to partisan identification with the Democrats, despite the inherent contradictions of doing so while holding contrary (Conservative/Libertarian vs. Liberal-Progressive) views.

This is due to the solidification of Identity Politics.

A heck of a lot of people are no longer voting (or in the case of the young voter. never did to begin with) Republican because they're Conservative and the GOP is more closely aligned to Conservative views/values than the Dems are. They're voting Democrat because _________ (fill in whatever demographic group - Black, Hispanic, young people - fits here) vote Democrat and they're a ____________.

It's no longer about policy and the direction of the nation, and all about branding and marketing. And the Dems are CRUSHING Republicans on that.
22 posted on 08/20/2013 3:27:26 AM PDT by tanknetter
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