If you say so.
I think so. The key point here is that we are dealing with people that will do anything they believe they can get away with. Which, unfortunately leaves the options wide open. Add to that these are *very* nasty people who have demonstrated their capability to strong arm the judicial system.
So yeah, could I be wrong? Sure, especially if we had different people and no DHS. But with these people, more often than not you will be better off assuming they have their hands in the mix.
Sadly, with this bunch of fascist thugs, paranoia morphs into prudent thinking. That's how it works. After a while, no one trusts anyone.