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To: AndyTheBear

Seven states now with partial results in the spreadsheet I made based on this blog’s idea.

Shows Romney 29% chance of winning vs 71% for Obama.

Romney trailing early in FL and NC main reasons why.

Like you say, I think this is probably flawed, depending on where the early votes are coming from. Once a lot of states are beyond 50% of precincts in, this system probably starts approximating reality and becomes a lot more useful.


18 posted on 11/06/2012 4:55:10 PM PST by Stat Man
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To: Stat Man

14 states now with partial results, 2 with 50% or more in.
Romney 32%, Obama 68% chance of winning.

Exit polling sounds bad for Romney too.

I’m not ready to call this, but it isn’t looking good.


19 posted on 11/06/2012 5:27:22 PM PST by Stat Man
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