I still think it will come down to Colorado. I have said that for months. Romney will win but it will be closer than what some here think. Bottom line is that Romney wins which is what is most important. I am more worried about the Senate. I think we will gain 4 seats which is not enough to get back the Senate. We will keep the House. So we will have the Presidency and House and a closer Senate but still have Reid as Majority Leader. Romney is going to have to figure out how to get bills through with Reid....tough job but he worked with Mass which is a very liberal state.
President’s current lead in the Electoral College—and what is this assessment based on? media polls?
Cognitive dissidence dissonance
Based on the early voting, NV doesn’t look good for Romney. However, OH is looking good.
Most agree Romney has IN, NC, FL, and VA. Rasmussen given Romney CO, IA, NH, and OH as well, with WI being a tie. That would give Romney either 285 or 295 depending on WI.
Rove is projecting Obama at 48%, for a final result of 51% to 48%. I think this is the most likely scenario. I was hoping for a bigger win for Romney, and that might happen (particularly PN looks possible), but I think the most likely scenario will be close to 2004.
I’m surprised so many polls show Obama up in Ohio. Ohio doesn’t seem to be going well at all for him, based on the early voting. Dem turnout doesn’t seem to be nearly high enough.