I've been predicting for months, since before the conventions, that Obama would lose by 59% to 39% popular vote, and take 140 or less electoral votes.
Fat chance, everyone says. That 47% of government dependent people won't give up the freebies, they say.
There are some numerical clues, and some not so numerical, that I strongly believe support the tsunami prediction.
Obama took Independents by +8 points in 2008; Romney now gets the Independents by +14 (probably much more). That's at least a 22-point shift to the (R) for a full third of the voting populace from 2008.
Story after story supports my contention that the 2008 turnout among black voters is NOT going to happen again. Some predict levels like 2004 or 2000, and of those who turn out, Obama will NOT be getting 96% like in 2008. For instance, in NC Obama is getting less than 80% of the black vote. That alone spells a Democrat apocalypse. He had to pay people to come to his stupid convention, and then he had to bus them in from SC, then Atlanta, then Pluto, just to fill a down-sized event.
There's more, but I believe the midwest coal and rust-belt states are going to fall to Romney like a domino train.
Your welcome.
I'll put you down as an optimist - extreme optimist.