The intuitive guess here is that the national Jewish vote will be approximately 60% for Obama, 40% for Romney.
This shift of Jewish voters toward the GOP - in comparison to 2004 - will help put Florida back in the Republican column. Not surprising that Romney now has a seven-point lead in that crucial state according to a (left-leaning) newspaper-sponsored poll released yesterday.
That's probably closer to reality, although it might even be 55/45. I can only speak for own Jewish family members, every single one of whom, to my knowledge, is going to vote for Romney. I am rather sure that some of them have never before voted for a Republican.
But even a 60/40 result would represent a significant shift away from Obama and it will likely be accompanied by similar moves among Catholics and metropolitan area suburban voters.
In any event, it is very good news for Romney and bad news for Obama.
Thanks justiceseeker93. Another reason for Lew Rockwell fans to oppose Romney.