[Colonel Kangaroo]

Nobody is going to secede over a four year term.

The South Carolina hotheads did it over Lincoln's election in 1860. But few would accuse that bunch of possessing much political common sense.

[Sivad]

South Carolina et al seceded over the perceived long-term
ramifications of the election of Lincoln. Plus, Lincoln’s
election was the cherry on the icing. At this point there
isn’t even any icing on the cake.

Not close to being comparable for a few reasons.