No, I expect Newt to arrive with over 50%.
Romney and Paul each under 25%.
Santorum will likely bag it after Florida.
It is really too early to tell, but I agree with G Larry. I expect Newt to win the South Carolina primary partly because he took King(,) John(ny) to task for spreading dispicable rumors two days before the election. Gee, when have we ever seen that before? Almost every time the Lamebrained Media want to destroy a conservative candidate. The American people are fed up with the loony leftists trying to destroy people with rumors and innuendo. I for one am grateful that Newt did and Italian In-Ur-endo to John King.
If Newt wins in Iowa, I look for Romney’s support to erode in Florida. Why? Because Romney has his talking points and seems scripted—just as Zerobummer was in 2008.
Paul has hit his high water mark now that we are entering states in which the primaries are open only to registered Republicans. The leftists in the #Occupy#Soros movement, which by the way is little mroe than the #Bowel movement, won’t be able to vote for Paul.
I look for Santorum to bow out after Florida and for Newt to win about 60% of the delegates to the convention from Saturday in South Carolina and for him to have 50% or more of the delegates by the convention with neither Romney nor Paul to have any real power. Newt will make nice to them as he shows them back to Texas-CD-17 and to Salt Lake City.
Neither will be in a Gingrich administration.