All of those things can be debated in ‘what if’ alternative history, however, we don’t have a magic time machine to go back and change things or go forward and figure out all the butterfly effect interstices for our actions, all we have to face what is the reality of what is in front of us.
However, at least you are honest in what you believe. Too many try to hide behind vague political terms like ‘non-intervention’. We could at least have an honest and interesting conversation about it.
“Butterfly effect”, nothing, I am talking about first order, foreseeable (and foreseen) effects. We just prolonged the European Civil War for another 30 years.