You are way, way too overconfident. If you've been involved in politics for any length of time, I'd expect you'd know better. Seriously. Obama will get a minimum of 45% of the vote. Almost half of Americans pay no income taxes at all. Just under half are dependent on government transfer payments of one kind or another. We are a fully blossomed social welfare state, much like Europe at this point. The more we are like them, the more we will vote like them. My guess is this will be a very close election - something along the 2004 model. If we nominate a gaffe machine or someone that rubs the electorate wrong, we will very likely lose.
Maybe we should nominate a guy whose big plan is to tax poor people’s purchases so they’ll have some “skin in the game.”