[Lazlo in PA]

But we have seen one thing proven time and time again. That regardless of polls, the ideological support of each party, usually in some fashion or another, returns to their ideological candidate. Usually it is enough. Sometimes it is not (McCain).

Then explain almost all of the elections since Obummer took office. Scott Brown and Turner in the NY 9 come to mind. Obummer has shifted his party so far left, that there is not the size of his base that there traditionally is. The old paradigms are worthless.

[muawiyah]

Obama imagined that the polls were wrong that showed that only 20% of the Democrat base are mind-numbed, robot-like, knee-jerk Liberals.

I've thought all along that the polls gave too high an estimate ~ it's more like 2% and he ends up knowing most of them.

[parksstp]

You can win a seat in Congress via Protest, however to win the Presidency, people must vote “for you” not “against someone else”. Obama will win NY-9 in 2012, those people will come back. Just like MA has no chance of going red in the General Election.