Judge Napolitano wouldn’t get 10% in NY state.
Interactive 2012 Electoral Vote map
The GOP needs to flip the equivalent of five sizeable states. Based on the 2010 results, VA is pretty much a given. We need FL, it is hard to stop an Obama win without it - so this is where we need to be on closest fraud watch. Other major winnable states for 2012 based on 2010 results are OH, NC, IN, MI, PA. There are some smaller states that may be a factor, like MN, WI, NH, IA, WV), but by and large those seven states will be the battleground in the election.
I think Judge Nap would have an excellent shot at flipping many of those. This country, outside the parasitic large urban centers, has a huge mass of people who are totally and completely fed up with the way government takes everything it can from them and screws everything up and lies lies lies lies all the time about everything, a process I refer to as Sovietization.
Judge Nap is totally loyal to the people of the United States of America. You don't need to watch him much to understand this. The same cannot be taken as given for some other candidates, e.g. Perry championing a project designed to bypass the people of his own state in favor of providing a route facilitating foreign goods to enter the United States. He understands the concerns of regular middle-class people at their wits' end with the lack of economic opportunity and broken markets, the lies about unemployment and the lies about inflation.
And it's these people - not political activists - whose frustrations gave rise to the Tea Party. It is these people who sat out in 2008, having no one to vote for (or alternatively, just rolled the dice on Obama because they were sick of Bush); it is these people who came out big time in 2009 special elections, and again in the 2010 midterms, producing a historic wave of GOP victories.
They're ready to turn out again, but not for another establishment candidate like McCain was. They're also ready to sit out again if that game is played once more. They can't be fooled for very long - they see the evidence of what is going on in their wallets, and as long as their standard of living continues to drop they will know it.
Either the GOP will serve this constituency (and it is massive as 2010 showed) - or it will get shown the door. As more jobs are lost, more wages cut, more credit is cut, more benefits run out, this group only continues to become more potent as an electoral force, as people start choosing their wallets over whatever ideology they thought was important when times were good.
They're not going to buy a handed-down-from-on-high social conservative or a neo-conservative wrapped in the Tea Party banner. They will take someone who puts their pocketbook issues first, and if they happen to be socially conservative, they'll take that as part of the package.
Napolitano is that person. He is experienced in the media and can clearly express fundamental issues in ways that everyone can understand and relate to. He has his priorities in order, and that comes through when he talks. He is not fake, he is not a professional politician - but he does know the how law and government works. He is exactly what this country is looking for in a President for 2012.