Baraq only polled 53% with his inspired base against a weak McLame and dispirited Republican party. This was the “ghost” Baraq who was advertised as the answer to all problems.
I see him as a sure loser in any 2-way race in Nov 012.
There is a risk of him winning with a Clintonian plurality if the opposition splits.
No question, there are millions of braindead out there who will vote for him, along with the 90% of Blacks who cling to their racism.
But in 2008 he won by about 69 million to 60 million. Without the hate-Bush vote, and without the "first black blah blah," The rat turnout will likely be several million less. With a robust candidate instead of a feeble, submissive McCain, the GOP turnout should be several million stronger. With a few million disaffected indies following up on 2010, the election is within reach.
Again, this is predicated on the GOP not snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.