Replies

Firm Yes (2)
Dale Kildee (Mich.) * (Y) Not one of Stupak’s Dozen
Silvestre Reyes (Texas) * (Y) Intelligence panel chairman on board
Leaning Yes (5)
Joe Baca (Calif.) * (Y) Must-have for leadership. Said recently country can’t wait any longer for reform. Voted for Stupak language
Russ Carnahan (Mo.) (Y) In competitive race this fall, but should win
Gerry Connolly (Va.) (Y) If he votes no, bill will not pass. Likely yes
Jim Oberstar (Minn.) * (Y) Wants to vote yes, but also wants Stupak language. Oberstar sounds like a firm yes vote
Vic Snyder (Ark.) * (Y) Not seeking reelection. Snyder said on Fox News he is leaning yes
Undecided (70)
Jason Altmire (Pa.) * (N) Majority Whip James Clyburn (D-S.C.) told McClatchy he is targeting Altmire, who many view as key to passage. Altmire said on Fox News he has an “open mind.” Voted no in committee and on floor, but bottom line is his yes vote is gettable.
Brian Baird (Wash.) (N) Retiring member who bucked party on Iraq war surge. Another target of Clyburn
Melissa Bean (Ill.) (Y) Conservative Democrat well-positioned for midterm election
Shelley Berkley (Nev.) (Y) Told Politico she does not like the Senate bill
Sanford Bishop Jr. (Ga.) * (Y) Favors Stupak provision
Tim Bishop (N.Y.) (Y) Must-have vote for leadership. Bishop’s office told CNN that the New York lawmaker wants major changes to Senate bill
John Boccieri (Ohio) * (N) GOP target. Told Foxnews.com, “I’m not afraid to cast a tough vote...” Clyburn has publicly said he is leaning on Boccieri
Michael Capuano (Y) Wanted to be a senator, but doesn’t trust the Senate. TPM reported that Capuano is leaning no. In an e-mail to supporters, Capuano said he has many problems with Senate measure
Dennis Cardoza (Calif.) * (Y) Secured language for district before last year’s vote
Jim Cooper (Tenn) * (Y) Has had up-and-down relationship with Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.)
Jim Costa (Calif.) * (Y) Secured project for his district before November vote
Joe Courtney (Conn.) (Y) Wary of excise tax, but likely yes
Henry Cuellar (Texas) * (Y) Cuellar backs Stupak language but undecided. Cuellar’s vote has been one of rampant speculation, but the office told The Daily Caller he is undecided. Under pressure from Speaker and the president, Cuellar backed the climate change bill and House healthcare measure last year.
Kathy Dahlkemper (Pa.) * (Y) GOP target. Her yes vote could be key to passage. Strong backer of Stupak language
Mike Doyle (Pa.) * (Y) Must-have vote for leadership; not politically vulnerable
Bob Etheridge (N.C.) * (Y) Passed up Senate run
Brad Ellsworth (Ind.) * (Y) Senate hopeful who is big supporter of Stupak language
Bill Foster (Ill.) (Y) GOP target
Marcia Fudge (Ohio) (Y) Fudge is undecided, according to wkyc.com. Obama lobbying for her vote, giving her a ride on Air Force One on March 15
Gabrielle Giffords (Ariz.) (Y) GOP target
Bart Gordon (Tenn.) * (N) Retiring committee chairman. Clyburn especially wants his vote
Raul Grijalva (Ariz.) (Y) Despite many threats, Arizona liberal expected to vote yes
John Hall (N.Y.) (Y) Democratic leaders may lose other Dems from N.Y., but need to keep Hall on board
Debbie Halvorson (Ill.) (Y) Politically vulnerable, but favored to win her reelection race
Baron Hill (Ind.) * (Y) Passed up Senate run
Jim Himes (Conn.) (Y) Must-have vote for leadership. Likely yes
Steve Kagen (Wis.) (Y) Told Fox 11 in Wisconsin that he prefers more incremental approach; doesn’t trust Senate
Paul Kanjorski (Pa.) * (Y) GOP target. Also voted with education reform bill that will move with healthcare reform in reconciliation
Marcy Kaptur (Ohio) * (Y) Voted with leadership first time around, but doesn’t toe the party line. Wants Stupak language but that’s not a deal breaker
Mary Jo Kilroy (Ohio) (Y) In toss-up race this November
Ron Kind (Wis.) (Y) Represents competitive district. Voted against bill in committee
Ann Kirkpatrick (Ariz.) (Y) GOP target
Ron Klein (Fla.) (Y) GOP target
Suzanne Kosmas (Fla.) (N) Easily won her race in 2008; her 2010 race will be tighter
Jim Langevin (R.I.) * (Y) Langevin’s seat not in danger this fall. He has previously fended off primary challenges
Dan Maffei (N.Y.) (Y) Former Ways and Means aide is seen as gettable
Betsy Markey (Colo.) (N) Was a late no last time. In early March, Markey declined to be interviewed by Denver Post on her position on bill. Likely target for Democratic leaders
Jerry McNerney (Calif.) (Y) Waiting for final language. There are false reports of him being a firm no
Mike Michaud (Maine) * (Y) Likely yes
Harry Mitchell (Ariz.) (Y) GOP target
Alan Mollohan (W.Va.) * (Y) In November, seat was considered safe. Now, he’s in a tight race
Dennis Moore (Kan.) (Y) Retiring this year
Chris Murphy (Conn.) (Y) GOP target
Scott Murphy (N.Y.) (N) Reelection race looks good, for now. Told local media he might vote yes
Richard Neal (Mass.) * (Y) Better vote yes if he wants to take Ways and Means gavel; fan of Stupak language
Glenn Nye (Va.) (N) In toss-up race
David Obey (Wis.) * (Y) Waiting to review bill language; likely yes
Solomon Ortiz (Texas) * (Y) Was a late yes last time around
Bill Owens (N.Y.) (Y) One of first votes in Congress was yes on House health bill; media reports have him as undecided
Tom Perriello (Va.) * (Y) In toss-up race this fall; Pelosi had long talk with the Virginia Democrat on March 10 on the House floor
Earl Pomeroy (N.D.) * (Y) Voted against bill in committee, and for it on the House floor
Nick Rahall (W.Va.) * (Y) Another panel chairman on the fence
Ciro Rodriguez (Texas) * (Y) Considered by Cook Political Report to “likely” retain seat
Tim Ryan (Ohio) * (Y) Opposes abortion rights; voted for Stupak language
John Salazar (Colo.) * (Y) GOP target
Loretta Sanchez (Calif.) (Y) Was a late yes in November
Mark Schauer (Mich.) (Y) In toss-up race this fall
Kurt Schrader (Ore.) (Y) In competitive reelection race. Undecided
Carol Shea-Porter (N.H.) (Y) In toss-up race, according to Cook Political Report
Zack Space (Ohio) * (Y) Voted yes in committee and yes on the floor last year
Adam Smith (Wash.) (Y) Was a late yes in November
John Spratt (S.C.) * (Y) Budget Committee chairman is in competitive reelection race. Spratt will soon be trying to collect votes for his budget resolution
Betty Sutton (Ohio) (Y) GOP target
John Tanner (Tenn.) * (N) House deputy whip not running for reelection, but he still will need to be convinced to get to yes. Voted no in committee and on floor
Dina Titus (Nev.) (Y) Her office told The Hill the congresswoman is undecided. Voted no in committee and yes on the floor last year
Paul Tonko (N.Y.) (Y) Waiting for Congressional Budget Office numbers
Anthony Weiner (N.Y.) (Y) On March 12, Weiner noted that 290 times this Congress, the Senate has failed to act on bills passed by the House, adding, “Fool us once, shame on you, fool me 290 times, shame on us.” Regardless, Weiner is a very likely yes
Charlie Wilson (Ohio) * (Y) Considered less vulnerable this fall than other Ohio Democrats. Sounds like a yes vote, telling CQ he is willing to vote for Senate bill
David Wu (Ore.) (Y) Was undecided for three hours during 2003 Medicare drug vote, then voted with the GOP
John Yarmuth (Ky.) (Y) Considered a team player. Likely yes
Bob Cusack, Molly K. Hooper, Jeffrey Young, Jared Allen, Mike O’Brien, John Owre, Jennifer Swift, Drew Wheatley, Jurgen Boerema and Tony Lange contributed to this list.