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To: UncleVanya
According to Intrade.com, which uses a trading system to forecast likelihood of events, it is better than 50-50 odds that Republicans will gain 30 seats in the House in the 2010 elections:

http://electoralmap.net/2010/house_seats.php

[Note: Contracts which are trading below the 50/50 mark are shaded a lighter red. Contracts above that mark are shaded dark red. This shading helps visualize the threshold between events that are not forecasted to happen and events that are. Historically the party in power loses seats during mid-term elections, and 2010 looks to be no exception. Intrade is in concurrence with major polls which forecast a Republican gain in seats, but with in a prediction market, traders aren't just answering a pollster's questions -- they are putting their money where their mouth is.]

BUT WE MUST DO BETTER THAN THAT. This will still leave Nancy Pelossi in charge.

IT IS CRITICAL THAT YOU GET INVOLVED THIS YEAR EVEN IF IT IS FOR THE FIRST TIME. Give money, even a little. Give time, as much as you can. Call, write, make your voice heard. Get at least two other people involved with you.

IT MAY BE YOUR LAST CHANCE TO VOTE FOR SOMEBODY WHO IS NOT AN OBAMANIST SHILL.

19 posted on 01/05/2010 11:16:20 AM PST by UncleVanya
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To: UncleVanya

I wonder if they have factored in the “Universal Voter Registration” bill that is coming down the pike.


24 posted on 01/05/2010 11:59:51 AM PST by Josephat
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