Yes, I agree. And according to the gnomic "ObiWan" at NRO's The Corner, A late shift toward McCain is the Obama campaign's worst nightmare:
Obi Wan: "Believe me, there is someone in the Obama campaign who is deathly afraid of the 'McCain pulls even or goes ahead' poll."... "That Obama strategist knows how much depends on the whole Chuck Schumer and Rahm Emanuel approach —.work with the media to demoralize conservatives, and keep the perception of a juggernaut going. But a day or two of a few bad polls, and that strategy backfires. The conservatives know they've still got a shot at this."I can't see how news that we are closing dramatically would make conservative voters complacent. We're like a basketball team that's been down 20, but now stands one 3 pointer away from taking the lead. The closer we are the more excited we get. No one's going to back off now. News like this will likely increase republican turn out, not dampen it. But dampening turnout is the other side's strategy.
The strategy has backfired. Most reputable polls are within the margin of error. The GOP IS energized.
By competing in AZ where he is behind by double digits, Obama is trying to get GOP voters to discount the polls showing it close and get them to think, “Oh, my-it’s going to be a landslide-we’re doomed”.
This belies his behavior in other states. Does anyone actually think that if O had a shot at AZ, he’d still be visiting PA, OH, FL or VA, let alone IA?
People aren’t buying it.