“Bush in 1992?”
He’s the outlier. And a loser. His approval ratings dropped to below 40% (he was a 34% by election day).
Trump will likely be reelected since his rating is aroung 51-52% (Obama was at 52%, GW Bush at 48%, Clinton at 54%, Reagan at 58%)
Carter was at 37% and lost also.
This is why they’ve been trying everything to get Trump’s approval ratings down, to no avail.
At 51-52% approval he will be reelected, and will gain states, not lose them (likely MN, NH and others)
Incidentally, the two democrats who were reelected lost states, that is, they lost support in their time in office. Republicans (except for Bush, who lost) gained support in their time in office.
I believe that’s the case here.
So be of good cheer!
Yep, GHWB is a textbook example of what happens when you betray your base.
Trump won the electoral college with 46.1% of the popular vote. I assume he needs 48% to defend the electoral college. 49% to win decisively. 50% would be a landslide where he wins states like Virginia, Maine, Nevada in addition to all the battleground states.