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2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map (Freeper estimate on 9/12/2020)
270 to win ^
| September 12, 2020
Posted on 09/12/2020 7:54:02 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
TOPICS: Heated Discussion
KEYWORDS: election2020
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To: MinorityRepublican
If all of the “toss up” states go to Trump, he still needs Pennsylvania, or Michigan, or Wisconsin plus Minnesota. I consider each of those completely doable.
The big thing is that Trump needs to go for the win, not to humiliate Biden. There is no point in contesting states that are out of reach (NJ, CA, OR, MA, MD, HI, etc.). President Trump should challenge in multiple states that are at least in play (anything “leans D”), but he needs to go all out to defend every state that is only “leans R”, plus all out to win your toss ups and the four “leans D” states that are seriously in play.
21
posted on
09/12/2020 8:38:53 AM PDT
by
Pollster1
("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
To: Ouchthatonehurt
I got 322....MI, WI, MN and PA. Sounds like you might have added one of the smaller states as well!
To: SamAdams76
I’m at 269-269... It is 2020 after all...
23
posted on
09/12/2020 8:40:31 AM PDT
by
dakine
To: hoosiermama
Every vote counts. I’m pleased to learn Scott has managed to engage the Amish.
24
posted on
09/12/2020 8:40:35 AM PDT
by
JayGalt
(You can't teach a donkey how to tap dance. Nemo me impune lacessit!)
To: MinorityRepublican
Keep in mind that republicans increase support and gain states in their reelection campaigns.
Eiswnhower gained states in 1956
Nixon gained states in 1972
Reagan gained states in 1984
Bush gained states in 2004.
To: cotton1706
26
posted on
09/12/2020 8:50:48 AM PDT
by
dfwgator
(Endut! Hoch Hech!)
To: MinorityRepublican
Thanks! Any info on Senate and House races?
Any replacement anywhere for Collins (me) seat? Lots of money going into Maine against her.
1) Republicans are cool to her (she can’t even admit in the debates if she would vote for Trump).
2) The democrat ads paint her as a far right winger who is Trump’s puppet.
That’s what you get when you sit on the fence. Both sides dislike you.
I’m assuming Collins’ seat will turn blue in November.
How are we looking in the Senate?
27
posted on
09/12/2020 8:58:22 AM PDT
by
tsowellfan
(https://twitter.com/cafenetamerica)
To: dfwgator
Bush in 1992?
We should NEVER forget about that His defeat got us the Clintons.
28
posted on
09/12/2020 9:00:02 AM PDT
by
tsowellfan
(https://twitter.com/cafenetamerica)
To: MinorityRepublican
The map tells us that we do not have this in the bag. We have to fight this like we are the underdog. There are so many powerful groups arrayed against us. I cringe when people claim a "Trump landslide" - it distracts from the work that needs to be done, not to mention it could make voters too comfortable in doing nothing if it happens a lot.
That being said, I think we may win atleast one upper midwest state - hoping for two. Pres. Trump should probably visit the northeast corner of Minnesota, around Duluth. They voted blue in 2016. He should go and remind them that he has done more for democrat voters than hidin' Biden's 40 years.
Michigan has the rabid rat governor and sec of state firmly ensconed in their positions. I don't know what that means for our chances in MI.
The map shows Nevada as red. But I am not convinced. I wonder if there is a way to turn New Hampshire red this time.
29
posted on
09/12/2020 9:01:17 AM PDT
by
Moorings
To: MinorityRepublican
Nevada only has one Republican officeholder at the “higher” echelons, and that would be the SOS, Barbara Cegavske. The rest of the upper echelon all appears to be Rat. Nevada is going all in with getting out the Rat vote, and will be employing universal mail-in ballots (i.e., EVERYONE in Nevada will get a ballot).
I do not hold out a lot of optimism as far as Nevada. I think we’d have a better chance at flipping Minnesota.
30
posted on
09/12/2020 9:01:24 AM PDT
by
ought-six
(Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
To: dfwgator
Good point, but after all, Trump is no old man Bush and Biden is no Bill Clinton.
Biden couldn’t charm milk out of a goat.
To: MinorityRepublican
Here's what I have. I made some assumptions that I wish not to come to pass. Undecided voters shift to Biden, whose partisans cheat considerably in his behalf. Here's the result:
And for the Senate. No Republicans are secure, and Democrats can win big. Consider also the likelihood of coattails and reverse-coattails. We need to work harder here:
And for the House of Representatives. Because of a lack of poling data, this one looks tricky. Basically, if polls don't show a Republican win, and the presidential vote index is close, I assigned it to a Democrat, if one is on the ballot. I did not account for any incumbency advantage. This map corresponds to the presidential scenario earlier with the same degree of shift in voter attitudes and Democrat sponsored cheating. So, consider this as a worst-reasonably-possible scenario for each district, and campaign and vote accordingly, because the American experiment depends on it:
32
posted on
09/12/2020 9:15:46 AM PDT
by
dufekin
(Vote Trump; save lives)
To: MinorityRepublican
Here's what I have. I made some assumptions that I wish not to come to pass. Undecided voters shift to Biden, whose partisans cheat considerably in his behalf. Here's the result:
And for the Senate. No Republicans are secure, and Democrats can win big. Consider also the likelihood of coattails and reverse-coattails. We need to work harder here:
And for the House of Representatives. Because of a lack of poling data, this one looks tricky. Basically, if polls don't show a Republican win, and the presidential vote index is close, I assigned it to a Democrat, if one is on the ballot. I did not account for any incumbency advantage. This map corresponds to the presidential scenario earlier with the same degree of shift in voter attitudes and Democrat sponsored cheating. So, consider this as a worst-reasonably-possible scenario for each district, and campaign and vote accordingly, because the American experiment depends on it:
33
posted on
09/12/2020 9:16:56 AM PDT
by
dufekin
(Vote Trump; save lives)
To: MinorityRepublican
To: dufekin
35
posted on
09/12/2020 9:20:45 AM PDT
by
dakine
To: MinorityRepublican
we had learned from 2016 that polls do not mean anything. Did the polls mean anything in 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, and 2018?
36
posted on
09/12/2020 9:22:11 AM PDT
by
Drew68
To: MinorityRepublican
As always, Florida and Ohio are all-important. If President Trump holds on to both, AND Arizona, he is in great shape. He would have 260 electoral votes WITHOUT NV, CO, MI, MN, WI, PA, or NH. And I think he will win PA and MI.
37
posted on
09/12/2020 9:36:31 AM PDT
by
MrChips
("To wisdom belongs the apprehension of eternal things." - St. Augustine)
To: tsowellfan
I am looking at Pickups in MI and AL.
38
posted on
09/12/2020 9:42:10 AM PDT
by
MrChips
("To wisdom belongs the apprehension of eternal things." - St. Augustine)
To: originalbuckeye
(I HATE using Red for Conservatives, but the Left changed it so as to not be confused as Communists)....
Me too. Every military map identifies the enemy in RED and friendlies in BLUE.
39
posted on
09/12/2020 9:48:03 AM PDT
by
shove_it
(MAGA MAGA MAGA!!!)
To: originalbuckeye
As will VA, WI, MN, and MI.
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