Iraq has never had a real Government in the first place since Saddam left.
Iran will be running the show sooner than later
Saddam was probably the best leader Iraq had.
It is not saying much, but then again, it is the Middle East so don’t expect much.
Things to remember about iraq
Its arab, iran is indo european.
The other arab states are justifiably afraid of iran, and will work to mend the sunni shia divide.
Turkey, iran, iraq and a few ‘stans have Kurds whom have been promised they own country for a decades.
Malaki’s gov will fall if he doesn’t stop the attacks on the sunni, and the kurds don’t trust him so a new gov will not possible. Thus the only group getting oil $ will be the kurds. a sunni/kurd coalition fracturing iraq would wind up forcing turkey into giving its kurds the adjacent terrirory, something they’ve reneged on. That makes the syrian issue even more of an existential threat to iran since their kurds are adjacent as well.
Israel has threatened to support the kurds with $ and tech. A few armed uav’s would keep the shia at bay in iraq and turkey. Turkey will likey give up since their economy is imploding and they need money. Iran is about to see it economy destroyed if the us does ban the iranian central bank.
We live in interesting times.
Things to remember about iraq
Its arab, iran is indo european.
The other arab states are justifiably afraid of iran, and will work to mend the sunni shia divide.
Turkey, iran, iraq and a few ‘stans have Kurds whom have been promised they own country for a decades.
Malaki’s gov will fall if he doesn’t stop the attacks on the sunni, and the kurds don’t trust him so a new gov will not possible. Thus the only group getting oil $ will be the kurds. a sunni/kurd coalition fracturing iraq would wind up forcing turkey into giving its kurds the adjacent terrirory, something they’ve reneged on. That makes the syrian issue even more of an existential threat to iran since their kurds are adjacent as well.
Israel has threatened to support the kurds with $ and tech. A few armed uav’s would keep the shia at bay in iraq and turkey. Turkey will likey give up since their economy is imploding and they need money. Iran is about to see it economy destroyed if the us does ban the iranian central bank.
We live in interesting times.
Things to remember about iraq
Its arab, iran is indo european.
The other arab states are justifiably afraid of iran, and will work to mend the sunni shia divide.
Turkey, iran, iraq and a few ‘stans have Kurds whom have been promised they own country for a decades.
Malaki’s gov will fall if he doesn’t stop the attacks on the sunni, and the kurds don’t trust him so a new gov will not possible. Thus the only group getting oil $ will be the kurds. a sunni/kurd coalition fracturing iraq would wind up forcing turkey into giving its kurds the adjacent terrirory, something they’ve reneged on. That makes the syrian issue even more of an existential threat to iran since their kurds are adjacent as well.
Israel has threatened to support the kurds with $ and tech. A few armed uav’s would keep the shia at bay in iraq and turkey. Turkey will likey give up since their economy is imploding and they need money. Iran is about to see it economy destroyed if the us does ban the iranian central bank.
We live in interesting times.