Free Republic
Browse · Search
Smoky Backroom
Topics · Post Article

To: Buggman
I keep seeing complaints that the estimates offered by IDers are too high; I have yet to see any of you offer odds of your own.

That's because there's no realistic means of deriving any odds.
531 posted on 01/26/2006 9:13:14 PM PST by Dimensio (http://angryflower.com/bobsqu.gif <-- required reading before you use your next apostrophe!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 530 | View Replies ]


To: Dimensio; b_sharp
Most certainly there is. State your assumptions up front (like the assumption that the various necessary atoms would be in the same area at the same time--a reasonable enough assumption), then figure out the odds of each necessary molecule for the basic building blocks (e.g., each amino acid) coming together individually. Multiply those odds together. Then figure out the odds of each of those building blocks coming together in just the right way to add up to a living cell.

The fact is that any number of scientists have run their own calculations on the odds, and as it turns out, 1 in 10^300 is on the low side.

So please, since you don't like the odds IDers calculate, come up with your own.

537 posted on 01/26/2006 9:31:24 PM PST by Buggman (L'chaim b'Yeshua HaMashiach!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 531 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Smoky Backroom
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson